{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d864104d-8ef6-4544-8e0d-6e15b871ebd5",
    "symbol": "IJH",
    "name": "iShares S&P Mid-Cap ETF",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.009,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.508,
    "architecture_energy": 49.227,
    "architecture_maturity": 83.848,
    "architecture_confidence": 48.767,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.96,
        "rotation_up": 41.91,
        "upward_expansion": 68.07,
        "deceleration": 68.15,
        "rotation_down": 27.34,
        "downward_expansion": 20.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        54.031332,
        54.110491,
        53.154692,
        52.251454
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 54.419998,
    "trend_reference": 51.365895,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059458,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 46.299934,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.17538,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.193856,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.08901,
    "excess_performance": 0.025304,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059458,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027963,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17538,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042728,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021939,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016227,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08901,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.614771,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 52999,
      "relative_activity": 1.138084,
      "balance": 0.614771,
      "dry_up": 1.047723,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018817,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11719,
      "from_high_reference": -0.019459,
      "from_low_reference": 0.162121
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.365895,
      "fair_value_reference": 46.299934,
      "structural_low": 46.828166,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.00579,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001956,
        "regime_survival": 0.735294,
        "best_return": 0.072639,
        "worst_return": -0.08466,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.000177,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004252,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.131761,
        "worst_return": -0.134977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.052525,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001269,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.139387,
        "worst_return": -0.061983,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.013236,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029638,
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        "worst_return": -0.034629,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 50.849998,
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        "typical_volume": 68402.4,
        "trend": 49.698145,
        "fair_value": 44.774947,
        "relative_strength": 3.364005,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 19.483612,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 64633.95,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 65069.1,
        "trend": 49.787885,
        "fair_value": 44.979199,
        "relative_strength": 3.816554,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 64462.8,
        "trend": 49.833073,
        "fair_value": 45.07238,
        "relative_strength": 4.278085,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.748679,
        "energy": 45.551907,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 65325.15,
        "trend": 49.872656,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.579217,
        "energy": 44.467188,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 51.742729,
        "volume": 46347,
        "typical_volume": 63138.85,
        "trend": 49.968625,
        "fair_value": 45.273592,
        "relative_strength": 5.203148,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 69.240306,
        "energy": 55.505161,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 52.539696,
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        "typical_volume": 57771.3,
        "trend": 50.076913,
        "fair_value": 45.375153,
        "relative_strength": 7.896895,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 66.431115,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 6443,
        "typical_volume": 53058.25,
        "trend": 50.226014,
        "fair_value": 45.484981,
        "relative_strength": 7.093417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.726598,
        "energy": 82.899336,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 88.02571,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 55.169666,
        "volume": 17667,
        "typical_volume": 48860.85,
        "trend": 50.580042,
        "fair_value": 45.706004,
        "relative_strength": 10.686381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.556641,
        "energy": 95.948079,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.469632,
          51.000642
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 54.830002,
        "volume": 9208,
        "typical_volume": 46793.2,
        "trend": 50.742806,
        "fair_value": 45.817119,
        "relative_strength": 8.777468,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.290502,
        "energy": 92.431173,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 112193,
        "typical_volume": 50158.05,
        "trend": 50.848444,
        "fair_value": 45.921763,
        "relative_strength": 7.678068,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.970758,
        "energy": 87.411448,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.422395,
          53.580008,
          52.172839,
          51.494006
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.939999,
        "volume": 42987,
        "typical_volume": 49615.8,
        "trend": 50.978559,
        "fair_value": 46.019106,
        "relative_strength": 7.183965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.309097,
        "energy": 84.312803,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.320967,
          53.788866,
          52.445068,
          51.693461
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.93,
        "volume": 41604,
        "typical_volume": 48053.5,
        "trend": 51.109335,
        "fair_value": 46.113653,
        "relative_strength": 7.248859,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.508742,
        "energy": 62.551404,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.177311,
          53.941466,
          52.698258,
          51.883877
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 53.639999,
        "volume": 57574,
        "typical_volume": 47332.7,
        "trend": 51.253226,
        "fair_value": 46.203921,
        "relative_strength": 4.107482,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.048867,
        "energy": 49.544385,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.923333,
          53.979834,
          52.904125,
          52.047146
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.419998,
        "volume": 52999,
        "typical_volume": 46568.6,
        "trend": 51.365895,
        "fair_value": 46.299934,
        "relative_strength": 2.193856,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.507912,
        "energy": 49.226796,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.031332,
          54.110491,
          53.154692,
          52.251454
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}