{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d8655ca3-94b1-4477-92c5-28dd188a65a1", "symbol": "VSLU", "name": "ETF OPPORTUNITIES TR APPLIED FINANCE VALUATION LARGE CAP ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.002, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.004, "architecture_energy": 84.68, "architecture_maturity": 15.165, "architecture_confidence": 74.711, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.27, "rotation_up": 76.02, "upward_expansion": 94.18, "deceleration": 42.63, "rotation_down": 14.56, "downward_expansion": 18.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.90484, 47.322193, 46.734532, 45.962927 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 49.1904, "trend_reference": 45.147053, "distance_from_trend": 0.089559, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.960574, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330888, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.645812, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.105154, "excess_performance": -0.020471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089559, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024784, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330888, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026573, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006458, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020078, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105154, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.142175, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91386, "relative_activity": 0.531045, "balance": 1.142175, "dry_up": 0.716521, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021818, "annualized_volatility": 0.136376, "from_high_reference": -0.001705, "from_low_reference": 0.23594 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.147053, "fair_value_reference": 36.960574, "structural_low": 40.55, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.013251, "positive_rate": 0.794118, "directional_follow_through": 0.794118, "median_excess_return": -0.002178, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.063758, "worst_return": -0.122274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.057975, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.002556, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.124169, "worst_return": -0.025091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.095657, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.002186, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.128144, "worst_return": 0.08056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 46.9102, "volume": 85052, "typical_volume": 190381.25, "trend": 44.868137, "fair_value": 36.69024, "relative_strength": -0.896325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.84607, "energy": 67.384103, "activity_lines": [ 46.990627, 46.716851, 46.170184, 45.522203 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.5, "volume": 85064, "typical_volume": 181014.6, "trend": 44.99104, "fair_value": 36.819734, "relative_strength": -0.716621, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.761694, "energy": 71.129322, "activity_lines": [ 47.229507, 46.873507, 46.383922, 45.692 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.1904, "volume": 91386, "typical_volume": 172087.05, "trend": 45.147053, "fair_value": 36.960574, "relative_strength": -0.645812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.003564, "energy": 84.679746, "activity_lines": [ 47.90484, 47.322193, 46.734532, 45.962927 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }