{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d87c720c-b234-401b-a9bb-24f1e5b03402", "symbol": "6117", "name": "In Win Development Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.191, "architecture_energy": 70.381, "architecture_maturity": 18.754, "architecture_confidence": 90.658, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 11.5, "upward_expansion": 15.96, "deceleration": 38.07, "rotation_down": 72.07, "downward_expansion": 91.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.48751, 65.721119, 70.783967, 72.146746 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 63.5, "trend_reference": 73.36171, "distance_from_trend": -0.134426, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 79.660724, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.202869, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.757631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.131839, "excess_performance": -0.573211, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.134426, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042677, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.202869, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.260892, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.417576, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06806, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.131839, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.192274, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1098303, "relative_activity": 0.324071, "balance": 0.192274, "dry_up": 0.320946, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097185, "annualized_volatility": 0.384894, "from_high_reference": -0.343356, "from_low_reference": 0.055795 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.36171, "fair_value_reference": 79.660724, "structural_low": 60.14423, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.021776, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.014181, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.248344, "worst_return": -0.069383, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.019459, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.01296, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.187919, "worst_return": -0.145631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.022703, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.015408, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.168627, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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1098303, "typical_volume": 3389086.35, "trend": 73.36171, "fair_value": 79.660724, "relative_strength": -41.757631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.190592, "energy": 70.380856, "activity_lines": [ 63.48751, 65.721119, 70.783967, 72.146746 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }