{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d881af11-efcd-4a7f-8110-b1221595b7fc",
    "symbol": "SGF",
    "name": "SGF Capital Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 43.476,
    "architecture_energy": 68.573,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.709,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.359,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.22,
        "rotation_up": 74.6,
        "upward_expansion": 64.95,
        "deceleration": 20.92,
        "rotation_down": 16.21,
        "downward_expansion": 23.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.176,
        0.163273,
        0.151476,
        0.150516
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.18,
    "trend_reference": 0.153667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.171367,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.266987,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.32581,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.994806,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": -0.192325,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171367,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031513,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.32581,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205822,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079948,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.225294,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.897324,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1167900,
      "relative_activity": 0.5152,
      "balance": 0.897324,
      "dry_up": 1.606389,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.102564,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.455805,
      "from_high_reference": -0.307692,
      "from_low_reference": 0.636364
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.153667,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.266987,
      "structural_low": 0.11,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015004,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.222222,
        "worst_return": -0.153846,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.176923,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.165378,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.353846,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.197009,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.190461,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.055556,
        "worst_return": -0.338462,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.261538,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.390434,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.523077,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.32,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.133333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.222222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.291667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2109205.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.272756,
        "relative_strength": -25.856322,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 12.277337,
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          0.146,
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          0.13981,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.19,
        "volume": 6790200,
        "typical_volume": 2047930.0,
        "trend": 0.153333,
        "fair_value": 0.270833,
        "relative_strength": -5.756114,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.337623,
        "energy": 54.319623,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.161333,
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          0.144476,
          0.147097
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.18,
        "volume": 6163800,
        "typical_volume": 2255470.0,
        "trend": 0.153667,
        "fair_value": 0.268846,
        "relative_strength": -9.181489,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.792335,
        "energy": 64.066975,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.17,
          0.157636,
          0.148048,
          0.148817
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.18,
        "volume": 1167900,
        "typical_volume": 2266885.0,
        "trend": 0.153667,
        "fair_value": 0.266987,
        "relative_strength": -7.994806,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.475946,
        "energy": 68.573472,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.176,
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          0.150516
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}