{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d889c45b-e7ea-432e-b356-c137525f06e2",
    "symbol": "GAON-M",
    "name": "B GAON HOLDINGS LT",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.155,
    "architecture_energy": 77.114,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.401,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.393,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.59,
        "rotation_up": 66.95,
        "upward_expansion": 91.25,
        "deceleration": 48.46,
        "rotation_down": 23.18,
        "downward_expansion": 15.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        116.12,
        110.914182,
        103.370238,
        91.596516
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 121.1,
    "trend_reference": 76.131333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.590672,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.356218,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.928217,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 78.78819,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.768,
    "excess_performance": 1.7391,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.590672,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.38197,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.928217,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.431387,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.787882,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.351844,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.768,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.915513,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5261,
      "relative_activity": 0.59963,
      "balance": 0.915513,
      "dry_up": 0.782847,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079845,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.605639,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010621,
      "from_low_reference": 2.035088
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 76.131333,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.356218,
      "structural_low": 41.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.056625,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018612,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.561298,
        "worst_return": -0.179718,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007882,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.143803,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.043795,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.225133,
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        "worst_return": -0.216338,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.257681,
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        "worst_return": -0.10681,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 3110.4,
        "trend": 50.924333,
        "fair_value": 35.863205,
        "relative_strength": 67.374441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 98.629401,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "energy": 93.505807,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3685.85,
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        "relative_strength": 78.582446,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 2356,
        "typical_volume": 3796.8,
        "trend": 57.439,
        "fair_value": 37.201667,
        "relative_strength": 82.889275,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 85.647761,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 58.127181,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 58.518932,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 55.786624,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 7567.45,
        "trend": 64.422,
        "fair_value": 38.742436,
        "relative_strength": 76.703356,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 92,
        "typical_volume": 7544.05,
        "trend": 66.721667,
        "fair_value": 39.258782,
        "relative_strength": 84.061563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.128893,
        "energy": 64.616828,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.738667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 113.2,
        "volume": 3160,
        "typical_volume": 7598.45,
        "trend": 68.994667,
        "fair_value": 39.77,
        "relative_strength": 76.246328,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.279463,
        "energy": 68.489143,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.112,
          105.125091,
          94.592381,
          82.963484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 109.7,
        "volume": 12421,
        "typical_volume": 8214.25,
        "trend": 71.151,
        "fair_value": 40.258846,
        "relative_strength": 64.02202,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.439316,
        "energy": 65.039107,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.438,
          106.134182,
          97.261952,
          85.589634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 116.7,
        "volume": 6632,
        "typical_volume": 8544.8,
        "trend": 73.542333,
        "fair_value": 40.792564,
        "relative_strength": 75.980921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.016325,
        "energy": 77.051141,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.286667,
          108.266909,
          100.281095,
          88.52828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 121.1,
        "volume": 5261,
        "typical_volume": 8773.75,
        "trend": 76.131333,
        "fair_value": 41.356218,
        "relative_strength": 78.78819,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.154846,
        "energy": 77.114306,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.12,
          110.914182,
          103.370238,
          91.596516
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}