{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d8a4dc88-faac-4466-96ae-2e7c9d96f8ef", "symbol": "VSS", "name": "VANGUARD INTL EQUITY INDEX FUND INC FTSE ALL-WORLD EX USA SMALL CAP ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.733, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.41, "architecture_energy": 16.946, "architecture_maturity": 13.244, "architecture_confidence": 78.206, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.27, "rotation_up": 27.41, "upward_expansion": 37.75, "deceleration": 73.68, "rotation_down": 33.91, "downward_expansion": 38.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 153.515333, 153.727696, 154.893883, 154.199075 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 158.68, "trend_reference": 153.470477, "distance_from_trend": 0.033945, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 122.751196, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292696, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.838615, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.035669, "excess_performance": -0.089956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033945, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030943, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.292696, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072943, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038386, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063301, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.035669, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.913075, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 641819, "relative_activity": 0.512241, "balance": 0.913075, "dry_up": 0.679795, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033411, "annualized_volatility": 0.202062, "from_high_reference": -0.020657, "from_low_reference": 0.201168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 153.470477, "fair_value_reference": 122.751196, 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"direction": 27.84846, "energy": 14.875242, "activity_lines": [ 154.977672, 155.803739, 155.247444, 154.236442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 150.73, "volume": 1022806, "typical_volume": 1354632.25, "trend": 152.634542, "fair_value": 121.782461, "relative_strength": -5.152355, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.758235, "energy": 11.229154, "activity_lines": [ 153.409333, 154.70833, 154.961947, 154.134383 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 150.38, "volume": 1052541, "typical_volume": 1317902.35, "trend": 152.861955, "fair_value": 122.074904, "relative_strength": -4.75618, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.06005, "energy": 22.63252, "activity_lines": [ 152.133333, 153.744556, 154.683367, 153.988929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 150.52, "volume": 689865, "typical_volume": 1261633.4, "trend": 153.080774, "fair_value": 122.383317, "relative_strength": -5.629274, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.437872, "energy": 33.146307, "activity_lines": [ 151.381333, 152.921978, 154.412913, 153.837835 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 158.68, "volume": 641819, "typical_volume": 1252963.05, "trend": 153.470477, "fair_value": 122.751196, "relative_strength": -3.838615, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.410395, "energy": 16.946321, "activity_lines": [ 153.515333, 153.727696, 154.893883, 154.199075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }