{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d8b0f7ca-4bb2-44a4-b62b-c805ed21ba42", "symbol": "GANECOS", "name": "Ganesha Ecosphere Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.731, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.999, "architecture_energy": 75.459, "architecture_maturity": 19.649, "architecture_confidence": 77.467, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.42, "rotation_up": 76.65, "upward_expansion": 92.69, "deceleration": 42.35, "rotation_down": 9.35, "downward_expansion": 17.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 1146.660034, 1096.060019, 1047.429773, 1002.507321 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1064.300049, "trend_reference": 929.026674, "distance_from_trend": 0.145608, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1278.283817, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.167399, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.645767, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.554403, "excess_performance": 0.598113, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.145608, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051951, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.167399, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000598, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.066458, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087921, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.554403, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.864142, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 950103, "relative_activity": 0.342336, "balance": 0.864142, "dry_up": 0.308479, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092303, "annualized_volatility": 0.682786, "from_high_reference": -0.283561, "from_low_reference": 0.628491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 929.026674, "fair_value_reference": 1278.283817, "structural_low": 661.549988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.017724, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.022884, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.209158, "worst_return": -0.210931, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.051622, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.050985, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.724243, "worst_return": -0.370341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040602, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.03731, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.869938, "worst_return": -0.285604, 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1142.07334, 1058.294547, 1023.865955, 975.521294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1183.800049, "volume": 701211, "typical_volume": 3049944.4, "trend": 920.450006, "fair_value": 1278.256013, "relative_strength": 18.714167, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.234732, "energy": 85.094239, "activity_lines": [ 1174.080021, 1090.115465, 1042.285245, 993.226673 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1064.300049, "volume": 950103, "typical_volume": 2775354.65, "trend": 929.026674, "fair_value": 1278.283817, "relative_strength": 6.645767, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.998845, "energy": 75.459249, "activity_lines": [ 1146.660034, 1096.060019, 1047.429773, 1002.507321 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }