{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d8f3b016-196d-44ee-b43b-87dcd0deac45", "symbol": "EB5", "name": "First Resources Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.563, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.354, "architecture_energy": 63.485, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.416, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.41, "rotation_up": 68.44, "upward_expansion": 85.39, "deceleration": 47.95, "rotation_down": 12.52, "downward_expansion": 12.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.547333, 3.411273, 3.263344, 3.118392 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.7, "trend_reference": 2.86604, "distance_from_trend": 0.29098, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.682836, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.198669, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 30.244517, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.828584, "excess_performance": 0.673749, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.29098, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.169042, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.198669, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215763, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.302445, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.416973, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.828584, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.642667, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10083000, "relative_activity": 0.755029, "balance": 0.642667, "dry_up": 0.748658, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106861, "annualized_volatility": 0.655783, "from_high_reference": -0.063291, "from_low_reference": 1.534205 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.86604, "fair_value_reference": 1.682836, "structural_low": 2.013696, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.006849, "positive_rate": 0.540541, "directional_follow_through": 0.540541, "median_excess_return": 0.018433, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.328386, "worst_return": -0.288828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.039714, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.003221, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.813757, "worst_return": -0.336879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.085913, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.002796, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.621302, "worst_return": -0.259793, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 2.810154, "fair_value": 1.66751, "relative_strength": 22.242179, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.043327, "energy": 55.101204, "activity_lines": [ 3.456, 3.311455, 3.207166, 3.060983 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.7, "volume": 10083000, "typical_volume": 13354460.0, "trend": 2.86604, "fair_value": 1.682836, "relative_strength": 30.244517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.353811, "energy": 63.484903, "activity_lines": [ 3.547333, 3.411273, 3.263344, 3.118392 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }