{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9050ee9-3614-495a-98e0-85ad9d9dd601", "symbol": "VRTS", "name": "Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 55.684, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.152, "architecture_energy": 71.949, "architecture_maturity": 15.597, "architecture_confidence": 72.347, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.04, "rotation_up": 73.3, "upward_expansion": 91.62, "deceleration": 42.52, "rotation_down": 11.21, "downward_expansion": 15.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 162.311892, 157.50441, 150.987855, 146.678957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 165.16, "trend_reference": 144.24936, "distance_from_trend": 0.144962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 178.111425, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.072715, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.566599, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.196688, "excess_performance": 0.071063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.144962, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012002, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.072715, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128634, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055666, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155783, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.196688, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.097369, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 942228, "relative_activity": 1.577943, "balance": 2.097369, "dry_up": 1.304415, "accumulation_observations": 8, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0721, "annualized_volatility": 0.263147, "from_high_reference": -0.151012, "from_low_reference": 0.380563 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 144.24936, "fair_value_reference": 178.111425, 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140.871331, 141.108068 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 157.83285, "volume": 733643, "typical_volume": 541356.35, "trend": 144.057563, "fair_value": 178.576267, "relative_strength": -10.082015, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.186542, "energy": 39.442514, "activity_lines": [ 150.085002, 147.346192, 142.762073, 141.983565 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 162.01979, "volume": 613615, "typical_volume": 552061.6, "trend": 144.237654, "fair_value": 178.413782, "relative_strength": -5.486671, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.929862, "energy": 56.763234, "activity_lines": [ 154.798725, 150.357734, 144.988209, 143.142418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 163.201985, "volume": 666058, "typical_volume": 564690.8, "trend": 144.299119, "fair_value": 178.322399, "relative_strength": -3.629123, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.491518, "energy": 72.775492, "activity_lines": [ 158.78386, 153.255315, 147.203581, 144.365924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 159.35, "volume": 893689, "typical_volume": 587435.0, "trend": 144.358869, "fair_value": 178.182815, "relative_strength": -6.28409, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.798327, "energy": 69.836523, "activity_lines": [ 160.044868, 154.994681, 148.903065, 145.336948 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 165.16, "volume": 942228, "typical_volume": 597124.2, "trend": 144.24936, "fair_value": 178.111425, "relative_strength": -5.566599, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.152243, "energy": 71.949046, "activity_lines": [ 162.311892, 157.50441, 150.987855, 146.678957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }