{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d91ae92b-ec89-4b0a-aeb5-0e9c5396fdf8", "symbol": "TYT", "name": "Toyota Motor Corporation", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.43, "architecture_energy": 27.31, "architecture_maturity": 82.093, "architecture_confidence": 70.491, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.28, "rotation_up": 36.84, "upward_expansion": 23.08, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 18.87, "downward_expansion": 54.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 2966.566667, 2905.290909, 2930.850523, 3031.032616 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2983.5, "trend_reference": 3186.353597, "distance_from_trend": -0.063663, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2843.784704, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04913, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.713525, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.182967, "excess_performance": -0.234202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063663, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032454, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04913, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002365, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117135, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027009, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182967, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.087173, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2523181, "relative_activity": 1.838849, "balance": 1.087173, "dry_up": 0.694645, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040016, "annualized_volatility": 0.274745, "from_high_reference": -0.232271, "from_low_reference": 0.108764 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3186.353597, "fair_value_reference": 2843.784704, 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"fair_value": 2823.430509, "relative_strength": -13.550687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.391123, "energy": 78.184794, "activity_lines": [ 2803.966667, 2843.846254, 2966.524614, 3096.363311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2899.5, "volume": 150802, "typical_volume": 1800705.7, "trend": 3219.732373, "fair_value": 2828.55745, "relative_strength": -12.082574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.450267, "energy": 56.395809, "activity_lines": [ 2839.066667, 2846.35969, 2946.808305, 3074.683233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2897.0, "volume": 246271, "typical_volume": 1368819.85, "trend": 3206.172144, "fair_value": 2833.535975, "relative_strength": -13.126132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.706856, "energy": 48.032898, "activity_lines": [ 2865.066667, 2848.664036, 2930.993815, 3053.861789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3067.0, "volume": 892381, "typical_volume": 1298384.9, "trend": 3198.180046, "fair_value": 2838.882511, "relative_strength": -9.091954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.289284, "energy": 25.5728, "activity_lines": [ 2939.7, 2885.295654, 2934.067088, 3044.882941 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2983.5, "volume": 2523181, "typical_volume": 1372152.4, "trend": 3186.353597, "fair_value": 2843.784704, "relative_strength": -11.713525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.429682, "energy": 27.309529, "activity_lines": [ 2966.566667, 2905.290909, 2930.850523, 3031.032616 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }