{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d92affaf-c308-4f87-a23f-64950d41b589", "symbol": "ROSE", "name": "Rosebank Industries plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 76.422, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.6, "architecture_energy": 12.782, "architecture_maturity": 29.046, "architecture_confidence": 65.857, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.17, "rotation_up": 24.42, "upward_expansion": 14.91, "deceleration": 41.65, "rotation_down": 32.89, "downward_expansion": 62.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 335.333333, 331.854545, 340.004762, 340.956989 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 357.0, "trend_reference": 341.333333, "distance_from_trend": 0.045898, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 488.965347, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.269887, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.797402, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.053097, "excess_performance": 0.001862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010246, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.269887, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01426, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.037974, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016074, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.053097, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.368328, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16302814, "relative_activity": 1.098895, "balance": 0.368328, "dry_up": 1.306797, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067065, "annualized_volatility": 0.336553, "from_high_reference": -0.096203, "from_low_reference": 0.214286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 341.333333, "fair_value_reference": 488.965347, "structural_low": 294.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.075269, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.076065, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.147799, "worst_return": 0.00274, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.100629, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.080115, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.100629, "worst_return": 0.100629, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.220126, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027248, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051913, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.05949, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.072327, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.07855, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 735.0, "volume": 355395, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 785.0, "volume": 178894, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 785.0, "volume": 31366, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 745.0, "volume": 48515, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 775.0, "volume": 113998, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 685.0, "volume": 157736, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 682.5, "volume": 73651, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 610.0, "volume": 1198098, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 605.0, "volume": 38830, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 607.5, "volume": 97378, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 667.5, "volume": 36671, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 782.5, "volume": 98409, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 817.5, "volume": 37169, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 792.5, "volume": 12156, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 800.0, "volume": 24966, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 820.0, "volume": 38411, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 820.0, "volume": 43436, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 830.0, "volume": 28913, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 840.0, "volume": 21456, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 840.0, "volume": 20406, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 860.0, "volume": 7610, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 855.0, "volume": 19619, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 860.0, "volume": 8433, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 857.5, "volume": 29303, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 905.0, "volume": 17231, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 795.0, "volume": 41259, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 780.0, "volume": 34833, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 720.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 720.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 627.5, "volume": 94616, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 625.0, "volume": 33491, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 535.0, "volume": 80525, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 480.0, "volume": 88348, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 510.0, "volume": 345790, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 520.0, "volume": 15778, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 525.0, "volume": 44253, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 585.0, "volume": 91330, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 620.0, "volume": 21803, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 645.0, "volume": 4720, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 610.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 328.0, "volume": 4100853, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 328.5, "volume": 1211448, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 340.0, "volume": 1144114, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 324.0, "volume": 7869502, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 316.0, "volume": 4258548, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 316.0, "volume": 8611526, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 319.0, "volume": 3813601, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 340.0, "volume": 2524716, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 345.0, "volume": 2922072, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 339.0, "volume": 1145805, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 338.5, "volume": 677088, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 334.0, "volume": 3383309, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 328.0, "volume": 767679, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 327.0, "volume": 5813620, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 338.0, "volume": 5338950, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 355.0, "volume": 3849338, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 358.0, "volume": 4858766, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 351.0, "volume": 4032754, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 331.0, "volume": 2058393, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 338.0, "volume": 3040890, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 346.0, "volume": 1838373, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 355.0, "volume": 2584278, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 339.0, "volume": 1422082, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 343.0, "volume": 1995196, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 343.0, "volume": 1529744, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 333.0, "volume": 1234679, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 350.0, "volume": 2886001, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 341.0, "volume": 3043991, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 345.0, "volume": 520004, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 349.0, "volume": 1980190, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 347.0, "volume": 2328638, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 339.0, "volume": 1086607, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 345.0, "volume": 2311278, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 349.0, "volume": 3297697, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 339.0, "volume": 4889775, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 336.0, "volume": 3253816, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 328.0, "volume": 192517, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 328.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 337.0, "volume": 9709661, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 318.0, "volume": 10269221, "typical_volume": 2818687.4, "trend": 340.283333, "fair_value": 527.05625, "relative_strength": -27.763225, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.00735, "energy": 57.945279, "activity_lines": [ 327.6, 332.727273, 337.57619, 339.317204 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 315.0, "volume": 9722519, "typical_volume": 3212894.7, "trend": 339.5, "fair_value": 524.438272, "relative_strength": -24.232249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.40378, "energy": 59.31864, "activity_lines": [ 322.8, 328.8, 335.147619, 337.686022 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 322.0, "volume": 15325878, "typical_volume": 3849974.7, "trend": 339.1, "fair_value": 521.969512, "relative_strength": -21.475085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.01673, "energy": 46.507514, "activity_lines": [ 321.733333, 326.727273, 333.533333, 336.556989 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 328.0, "volume": 5631792, "typical_volume": 4060460.2, "trend": 339.1, "fair_value": 519.63253, "relative_strength": -22.118486, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.687713, "energy": 41.42968, "activity_lines": [ 323.066667, 326.054545, 332.647619, 335.84086 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 365.0, "volume": 9693152, "typical_volume": 4445358.0, "trend": 340.366667, "fair_value": 517.791667, "relative_strength": -13.548608, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.266767, "energy": 5.824227, "activity_lines": [ 336.733333, 332.418182, 335.338095, 337.511828 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 388.0, "volume": 29518699, "typical_volume": 5844805.75, "trend": 342.033333, "fair_value": 516.264706, "relative_strength": -7.643647, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.584244, "energy": 34.347243, "activity_lines": [ 356.2, 342.672727, 340.114286, 340.584946 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 367.0, "volume": 9246597, "typical_volume": 6245401.65, "trend": 342.433333, "fair_value": 514.52907, "relative_strength": -8.938938, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.229381, "energy": 44.558491, "activity_lines": [ 364.0, 348.218182, 342.67619, 342.195699 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 377.0, "volume": 8546918, "typical_volume": 6528447.5, "trend": 343.066667, "fair_value": 512.948276, "relative_strength": -5.076705, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.885047, "energy": 69.791661, "activity_lines": [ 371.666667, 355.018182, 346.028571, 344.425806 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 366.0, "volume": 11371852, "typical_volume": 6944840.55, "trend": 343.566667, "fair_value": 511.278409, "relative_strength": -5.404771, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.120735, "energy": 69.096329, "activity_lines": [ 372.0, 358.927273, 348.204762, 345.905376 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 358.0, "volume": 8201235, "typical_volume": 7328902.1, "trend": 344.466667, "fair_value": 509.55618, "relative_strength": -5.531782, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.970519, "energy": 46.365178, "activity_lines": [ 367.133333, 360.690909, 349.5, 346.836559 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 349.0, "volume": 12617352, "typical_volume": 7860760.2, "trend": 344.833333, "fair_value": 507.772222, "relative_strength": -8.502262, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.483456, "energy": 25.311874, "activity_lines": [ 359.733333, 360.436364, 349.87619, 347.129032 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 347.0, "volume": 40371949, "typical_volume": 9762925.75, "trend": 344.866667, "fair_value": 506.005495, "relative_strength": -6.546491, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.518928, "energy": 17.216902, "activity_lines": [ 354.266667, 359.254545, 350.061905, 347.268817 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 353.0, "volume": 2171472, "typical_volume": 9817169.0, "trend": 344.8, "fair_value": 504.342391, "relative_strength": -2.71551, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.932613, "energy": 18.383314, "activity_lines": [ 352.133333, 358.581818, 350.819048, 347.793548 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 350.0, "volume": 2736765, "typical_volume": 9838443.35, "trend": 345.166667, "fair_value": 502.682796, "relative_strength": -4.305378, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.045273, "energy": 17.412354, "activity_lines": [ 350.6, 356.8, 351.22381, 348.129032 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 344.0, "volume": 33136314, "typical_volume": 11330374.2, "trend": 345.2, "fair_value": 500.994681, "relative_strength": -4.739496, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.705777, "energy": 13.763601, "activity_lines": [ 348.133333, 353.527273, 351.033333, 348.053763 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 323.0, "volume": 13029274, "typical_volume": 11737349.15, "trend": 344.533333, "fair_value": 499.121053, "relative_strength": -11.400102, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.614281, "energy": 21.378699, "activity_lines": [ 339.6, 346.818182, 348.866667, 346.621505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 332.0, "volume": 927770, "typical_volume": 11621046.85, "trend": 344.5, "fair_value": 497.380208, "relative_strength": -10.108929, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.301599, "energy": 27.212723, "activity_lines": [ 335.8, 342.927273, 347.633333, 345.812903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 318.0, "volume": 16637144, "typical_volume": 12443278.2, "trend": 343.433333, "fair_value": 495.530928, "relative_strength": -12.162589, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.519638, "energy": 48.484228, "activity_lines": [ 328.333333, 337.127273, 345.085714, 344.103226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 295.0, "volume": 24825702, "typical_volume": 13684563.3, "trend": 341.9, "fair_value": 493.484694, "relative_strength": -18.977753, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.666003, "energy": 79.51325, "activity_lines": [ 315.533333, 328.218182, 340.395238, 340.978495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 331.0, "volume": 26746733, "typical_volume": 14536416.9, "trend": 341.433333, "fair_value": 491.843434, "relative_strength": -10.031313, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.974034, "energy": 63.228244, "activity_lines": [ 318.4, 327.145455, 339.290476, 340.275269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 336.0, "volume": 9673448, "typical_volume": 14506628.25, "trend": 341.0, "fair_value": 490.285, "relative_strength": -9.446488, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.673193, "energy": 47.063128, "activity_lines": [ 323.8, 327.472727, 338.690476, 339.924731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 357.0, "volume": 16302814, "typical_volume": 14835643.0, "trend": 341.333333, "fair_value": 488.965347, "relative_strength": -3.797402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.599567, "energy": 12.781935, "activity_lines": [ 335.333333, 331.854545, 340.004762, 340.956989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }