{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d932a432-36e5-4f59-b700-b03a83bd9885", "symbol": "300398", "name": "PhiChem Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.536, "architecture_energy": 27.734, "architecture_maturity": 66.088, "architecture_confidence": 72.497, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.67, "rotation_up": 18.23, "upward_expansion": 50.16, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 49.62, "downward_expansion": 29.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.148667, 40.210099, 39.646734, 37.128909 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 36.810001, "trend_reference": 33.814162, "distance_from_trend": 0.088597, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.885291, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.851117, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 23.651955, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.326487, "excess_performance": 0.319087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088597, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.248385, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.851117, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121607, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.23652, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016673, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.326487, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.608394, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 215355279, "relative_activity": 1.05079, "balance": 0.608394, "dry_up": 1.15128, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.225779, "annualized_volatility": 0.818779, "from_high_reference": -0.423473, "from_low_reference": 0.951 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.814162, "fair_value_reference": 19.885291, "structural_low": 23.610001, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.114191, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.067831, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.238286, "worst_return": -0.152411, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.13805, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.107802, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.011409, "worst_return": -0.236881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.430817, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.395272, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.675264, "worst_return": -0.10511, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.771131, "energy": 47.899627, "activity_lines": [ 46.025322, 45.243092, 40.366613, 36.982296 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.09, "volume": 254484290, "typical_volume": 196870826.55, "trend": 33.059162, "fair_value": 19.681063, "relative_strength": 16.969771, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.965941, "energy": 17.85719, "activity_lines": [ 40.930995, 43.337003, 40.0804, 37.007189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.469999, "volume": 241040370, "typical_volume": 200464093.95, "trend": 33.334162, "fair_value": 19.762331, "relative_strength": 12.270122, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.23932, "energy": 22.640373, "activity_lines": [ 36.159093, 41.228914, 39.617614, 36.904662 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.810001, "volume": 215355279, "typical_volume": 204946036.3, "trend": 33.814162, "fair_value": 19.885291, "relative_strength": 23.651955, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.536277, "energy": 27.733912, "activity_lines": [ 35.148667, 40.210099, 39.646734, 37.128909 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }