{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9348bd9-9935-4b7f-91b6-9a10b7a7e771", "symbol": "6695", "name": "iCatch Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 62.783, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.219, "architecture_energy": 11.932, "architecture_maturity": 11.814, "architecture_confidence": 67.125, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.43, "rotation_up": 15.58, "upward_expansion": 40.77, "deceleration": 82.19, "rotation_down": 38.92, "downward_expansion": 34.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.483333, 51.310909, 52.385238, 50.482366 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 47.450001, "trend_reference": 47.946667, "distance_from_trend": -0.010359, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.307051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.126264, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.56506, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.127078, "excess_performance": -0.218654, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010359, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066469, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.126264, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183904, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275651, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088272, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.127078, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.800558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1603442, "relative_activity": 0.169279, "balance": 1.800558, "dry_up": 0.281229, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146632, "annualized_volatility": 0.449086, "from_high_reference": -0.312319, "from_low_reference": 0.277254 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.946667, "fair_value_reference": 54.307051, "structural_low": 37.150002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.018723, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.028277, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.265169, "worst_return": -0.240909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.086713, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.136163, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.858427, "worst_return": -0.250909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.165939, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.205236, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.278652, "worst_return": -0.182109, 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"volume": 7540753, "typical_volume": 9189023.6, "trend": 47.273333, "fair_value": 54.096154, "relative_strength": -21.847178, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.118969, "energy": 19.948362, "activity_lines": [ 53.786666, 54.789091, 52.563333, 49.969677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.799999, "volume": 4251404, "typical_volume": 9350716.2, "trend": 47.425, "fair_value": 54.146154, "relative_strength": -23.346614, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.388277, "energy": 19.287727, "activity_lines": [ 51.959999, 53.794545, 52.613809, 50.132688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.799999, "volume": 2093240, "typical_volume": 9360815.65, "trend": 47.583333, "fair_value": 54.19359, "relative_strength": -24.214912, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.658224, "energy": 17.986401, "activity_lines": [ 50.833333, 52.923636, 52.617381, 50.285914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.0, "volume": 2707340, "typical_volume": 9443221.2, "trend": 47.821667, "fair_value": 54.252564, "relative_strength": -24.073621, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.972065, "energy": 13.640316, "activity_lines": [ 50.659999, 52.423636, 52.696428, 50.506344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 1603442, "typical_volume": 9472189.1, "trend": 47.946667, "fair_value": 54.307051, "relative_strength": -27.56506, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.219348, "energy": 11.931761, "activity_lines": [ 49.483333, 51.310909, 52.385238, 50.482366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }