{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d93503be-55b3-4363-b268-66a8717b0dc7",
    "symbol": "002084",
    "name": "Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.736,
    "architecture_energy": 31.228,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.402,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.255,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.56,
        "rotation_up": 20.52,
        "upward_expansion": 5.17,
        "deceleration": 51.43,
        "rotation_down": 46.78,
        "downward_expansion": 71.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.450667,
        3.48,
        3.520429,
        3.613699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.48,
    "trend_reference": 3.744,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.070513,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.444752,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.010232,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.831711,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.15122,
    "excess_performance": -0.158619,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070513,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057006,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010232,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101659,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128317,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055135,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15122,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.73271,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 84405118,
      "relative_activity": 1.156476,
      "balance": 0.73271,
      "dry_up": 1.176313,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090186,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.385982,
      "from_high_reference": -0.326886,
      "from_low_reference": 0.148515
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.744,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.444752,
      "structural_low": 3.03,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.003772,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008862,
        "regime_survival": 0.807692,
        "best_return": 0.153527,
        "worst_return": -0.259259,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.00872,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.246032,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.004987,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.008614,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.335726,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.23662,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 3.450342,
        "relative_strength": -16.028776,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 26.939542,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.49,
        "volume": 75683507,
        "typical_volume": 79911142.25,
        "trend": 3.757333,
        "fair_value": 3.448086,
        "relative_strength": -8.355208,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.264401,
        "energy": 26.504791,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.462667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.48,
        "volume": 84405118,
        "typical_volume": 72984774.3,
        "trend": 3.744,
        "fair_value": 3.444752,
        "relative_strength": -12.831711,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.736185,
        "energy": 31.227529,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}