{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d93f7ca9-1159-45d0-a8e3-d55a908390e6",
    "symbol": "PJP",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR PHARMACEUTICALS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.925,
    "architecture_energy": 69.791,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.197,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.352,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.63,
        "rotation_up": 76.62,
        "upward_expansion": 89.72,
        "deceleration": 51.01,
        "rotation_down": 16.26,
        "downward_expansion": 11.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        112.541636
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 124.85,
    "trend_reference": 109.529342,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.139877,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 87.535163,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.426284,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.730032,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.133153,
    "excess_performance": 0.007528,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139877,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04459,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.426284,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173821,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0673,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086821,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133153,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 14.027249,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.341459,
      "balance": 14.027249,
      "dry_up": 2.268434,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035022,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.164295,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008891,
      "from_low_reference": 0.463293
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.529342,
      "fair_value_reference": 87.535163,
      "structural_low": 99.05,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.003642,
        "positive_rate": 0.678571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.678571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012568,
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        "best_return": 0.09535,
        "worst_return": -0.107399,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.090552,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.109612,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 86.078301,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 100445.25,
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        "fair_value": 86.372057,
        "relative_strength": 5.354392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 761119,
        "typical_volume": 133062.7,
        "trend": 107.85944,
        "fair_value": 86.654388,
        "relative_strength": 7.640495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.268456,
        "energy": 87.868751,
        "activity_lines": [
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          109.85481
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 120.37,
        "volume": 249399,
        "typical_volume": 140873.55,
        "trend": 108.287852,
        "fair_value": 86.938895,
        "relative_strength": 8.457561,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.947898,
        "energy": 85.375217,
        "activity_lines": [
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          112.945832,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 121.44,
        "volume": 203957,
        "typical_volume": 149094.3,
        "trend": 108.866909,
        "fair_value": 87.230558,
        "relative_strength": 7.825581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.813894,
        "energy": 68.690687,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.387787,
          118.556632,
          114.099559,
          111.510469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 124.85,
        "volume": 210697,
        "typical_volume": 157065.6,
        "trend": 109.529342,
        "fair_value": 87.535163,
        "relative_strength": 6.730032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.924693,
        "energy": 69.790948,
        "activity_lines": [
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          112.541636
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}