{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d95ef395-8b80-460a-9538-800beaada0f5", "symbol": "T55", "name": "TIH Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.575, "architecture_energy": 27.528, "architecture_maturity": 81.126, "architecture_confidence": 84.308, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.35, "rotation_up": 25.17, "upward_expansion": 14.54, "deceleration": 45.56, "rotation_down": 37.68, "downward_expansion": 64.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.201333, 0.200909, 0.20319, 0.20649 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.2, "trend_reference": 0.2144, "distance_from_trend": -0.067164, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.202147, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010619, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.123564, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.183673, "excess_performance": -0.338509, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.067164, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065524, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010619, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030431, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281236, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047891, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.183673, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.267493, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50400, "relative_activity": 0.603882, "balance": 1.267493, "dry_up": 1.238018, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037692, "annualized_volatility": 0.429336, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 0.058201 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.2144, "fair_value_reference": 0.202147, "structural_low": 0.189, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.002399, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.153851, "worst_return": -0.208163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.001565, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.337583, "worst_return": -0.145833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.034372, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.076168, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.506416, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.629106, "energy": 44.572033, "activity_lines": [ 0.1998, 0.200855, 0.204043, 0.209482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.2, "volume": 82400, "typical_volume": 124235.0, "trend": 0.217067, "fair_value": 0.201941, "relative_strength": -28.222103, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.046449, "energy": 40.528089, "activity_lines": [ 0.199867, 0.200327, 0.203629, 0.208284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.205, "volume": 82000, "typical_volume": 121695.0, "trend": 0.215733, "fair_value": 0.202046, "relative_strength": -26.207749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.718171, "energy": 27.061912, "activity_lines": [ 0.2016, 0.201073, 0.203662, 0.207505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2, "volume": 50400, "typical_volume": 83460.0, "trend": 0.2144, "fair_value": 0.202147, "relative_strength": -28.123564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.575469, "energy": 27.527917, "activity_lines": [ 0.201333, 0.200909, 0.20319, 0.20649 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }