{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d98327a5-c1c4-48b8-9c0d-d74790030c0c", "symbol": "DAMA11", "name": "FII DAMA CI", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.439, "architecture_energy": 66.021, "architecture_maturity": 33.3, "architecture_confidence": 84.108, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.31, "rotation_up": 11.18, "upward_expansion": 13.54, "deceleration": 39.88, "rotation_down": 75.24, "downward_expansion": 91.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.925333, 6.108877, 6.334118, 6.47859 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.91, "trend_reference": 6.687426, "distance_from_trend": -0.116252, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.98404, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.153785, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.254012, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.190031, "excess_performance": -0.132983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035915, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.153785, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087625, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.15254, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011631, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190031, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.587144, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1291, "relative_activity": 0.828015, "balance": 0.587144, "dry_up": 0.768047, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07249, "annualized_volatility": 0.19569, "from_high_reference": -0.270188, "from_low_reference": 0.064865 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.687426, "fair_value_reference": 6.98404, "structural_low": 5.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.03087, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024448, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.03149, "worst_return": -0.09323, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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6.819367, "fair_value": 7.016196, "relative_strength": -14.60502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.995851, "energy": 69.48684, "activity_lines": [ 6.252452, 6.398096, 6.53535, 6.650838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.99, "volume": 833, "typical_volume": 1899.6, "trend": 6.773146, "fair_value": 7.006329, "relative_strength": -15.947529, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.536968, "energy": 73.123279, "activity_lines": [ 6.129047, 6.308151, 6.474833, 6.59733 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.74, "volume": 1601, "typical_volume": 1767.35, "trend": 6.717324, "fair_value": 6.994269, "relative_strength": -20.696199, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.777836, "energy": 75.390202, "activity_lines": [ 5.972189, 6.185855, 6.394306, 6.530676 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.91, "volume": 1291, "typical_volume": 1559.15, "trend": 6.687426, "fair_value": 6.98404, "relative_strength": -15.254012, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.439351, "energy": 66.020937, "activity_lines": [ 5.925333, 6.108877, 6.334118, 6.47859 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }