{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d987eee3-9ec2-4882-9534-21c5f0c218c9", "symbol": "105010", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER Latin ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -52.114, "architecture_energy": 59.836, "architecture_maturity": 8.651, "architecture_confidence": 71.697, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.88, "rotation_up": 17.67, "upward_expansion": 19.94, "deceleration": 44.31, "rotation_down": 73.38, "downward_expansion": 63.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 6642.103971, 6744.642871, 6885.749902, 6903.858131 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 6465.0, "trend_reference": 6864.025977, "distance_from_trend": -0.058133, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4823.721927, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340251, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.283408, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.021379, "excess_performance": -0.251208, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058133, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06092, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.340251, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207793, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.142834, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160935, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.021379, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.954267, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25682, "relative_activity": 0.387346, "balance": 0.954267, "dry_up": 0.302421, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037413, "annualized_volatility": 0.14002, "from_high_reference": -0.145475, "from_low_reference": 0.420122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6864.025977, "fair_value_reference": 4823.721927, "structural_low": 6263.249908, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.032786, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.012561, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.08484, "worst_return": -0.048458, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037974, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.039323, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.205092, "worst_return": -0.000971, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.119827, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.109157, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.31394, "worst_return": -0.022523, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.032884, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014302, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011771, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037246, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": 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-33.942405, "energy": 45.678602, "activity_lines": [ 6746.786621, 6820.363592, 6936.128364, 6928.347946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6465.0, "volume": 25682, "typical_volume": 66302.45, "trend": 6864.025977, "fair_value": 4823.721927, "relative_strength": -14.283408, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.113864, "energy": 59.835559, "activity_lines": [ 6642.103971, 6744.642871, 6885.749902, 6903.858131 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }