{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9904b12-3682-45c6-92bb-f3deb886c029", "symbol": "AMBP", "name": "Ardagh Metal Packaging SA", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.98, "architecture_energy": 55.246, "architecture_maturity": 32.2, "architecture_confidence": 77.213, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.96, "rotation_up": 73.4, "upward_expansion": 85.04, "deceleration": 57.7, "rotation_down": 14.34, "downward_expansion": 7.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.831333, 4.721369, 4.440667, 4.338628 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.04, "trend_reference": 4.267377, "distance_from_trend": 0.181053, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.227328, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.561664, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.26295, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104339, "excess_performance": -0.021285, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.181053, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070935, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.561664, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.293241, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.13263, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.219475, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104339, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.74784, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11682760, "relative_activity": 1.251136, "balance": 1.74784, "dry_up": 1.739159, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075782, "annualized_volatility": 0.286921, "from_high_reference": -0.071806, "from_low_reference": 0.607838 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.267377, "fair_value_reference": 3.227328, "structural_low": 3.650096, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-08-07", "close": 5.04, "volume": 11682760, "typical_volume": 9337718.8, "trend": 4.267377, "fair_value": 3.227328, "relative_strength": 13.26295, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.979752, "energy": 55.245987, "activity_lines": [ 4.831333, 4.721369, 4.440667, 4.338628 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }