{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d99acf02-a6bb-4ac1-96cc-9b1cace7f412", "symbol": "ZTS", "name": "Zoetis Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.308, "architecture_energy": 90.608, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.19, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 20.81, "deceleration": 37.67, "rotation_down": 59.7, "downward_expansion": 94.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 1292.329841, 1308.371003, 1397.702597, 1555.361476 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1243.0, "trend_reference": 1761.533073, "distance_from_trend": -0.294365, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2829.35167, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.560677, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.05005, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.438654, "excess_performance": -0.383987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.294365, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145643, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.560677, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032322, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.420501, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079401, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.438654, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.214879, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14874, "relative_activity": 5.020082, "balance": 0.214879, "dry_up": 2.063181, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048753, "annualized_volatility": 0.547461, "from_high_reference": -0.573003, "from_low_reference": 0.000805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1761.533073, "fair_value_reference": 2829.35167, "structural_low": 1242.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.00865, "positive_rate": 0.393939, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": -0.040401, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.152025, "worst_return": -0.314801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.068491, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.099576, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.282121, "worst_return": -0.424836, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.105018, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.183471, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.537747, "worst_return": -0.228831, "sufficient": true }, { 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2222.45, "trend": 1796.12911, "fair_value": 2842.153165, "relative_strength": -39.230322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.725389, "energy": 62.553699, "activity_lines": [ 1315.212812, 1325.856519, 1431.302402, 1591.047225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1243.0, "volume": 14874, "typical_volume": 2962.9, "trend": 1761.533073, "fair_value": 2829.35167, "relative_strength": -42.05005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.30808, "energy": 90.607658, "activity_lines": [ 1292.329841, 1308.371003, 1397.702597, 1555.361476 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }