{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9a0600c-9620-4bed-b8aa-e979dddaf646", "symbol": "301251", "name": "Jiangxi Welgao Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.869, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.815, "architecture_energy": 50.287, "architecture_maturity": 7.169, "architecture_confidence": 51.62, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.98, "rotation_up": 21.76, "upward_expansion": 22.35, "deceleration": 39.74, "rotation_down": 66.01, "downward_expansion": 57.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.340667, 41.245092, 44.471946, 44.925449 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 46.580002, "trend_reference": 44.804936, "distance_from_trend": 0.039618, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.718987, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.516326, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.595362, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.201655, "excess_performance": 0.194255, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039618, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040729, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.516326, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138014, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.065954, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.201655, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.062521, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57874394, "relative_activity": 1.760356, "balance": 2.062521, "dry_up": 1.324391, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.186805, "annualized_volatility": 1.094285, "from_high_reference": -0.235391, "from_low_reference": 0.753105 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.804936, "fair_value_reference": 30.718987, "structural_low": 26.57, "invalidation": "A 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47.530331, 47.624022, 46.785278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.799999, "volume": 36138052, "typical_volume": 33892039.7, "trend": 44.853811, "fair_value": 30.629109, "relative_strength": -26.864296, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.396819, "energy": 39.03772, "activity_lines": [ 39.699334, 44.280195, 46.071758, 45.868008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.16, "volume": 33315082, "typical_volume": 32201357.7, "trend": 44.495851, "fair_value": 30.612538, "relative_strength": -31.893362, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.021724, "energy": 70.800538, "activity_lines": [ 34.625334, 40.871818, 44.343502, 44.790988 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.580002, "volume": 57874394, "typical_volume": 32876519.75, "trend": 44.804936, "fair_value": 30.718987, "relative_strength": 6.595362, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.814979, "energy": 50.286954, "activity_lines": [ 37.340667, 41.245092, 44.471946, 44.925449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }