{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9b08bdb-6b02-4a96-8f4a-4e8c63ea4439", "symbol": "FBRT", "name": "FMS Enterprises Migun Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.684, "architecture_energy": 68.532, "architecture_maturity": 91.125, "architecture_confidence": 90.8, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.04, "rotation_up": 29.95, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.67, "rotation_down": 62.09, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 194.226667, 204.690909, 6459.231836, 11395.167213 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 185.2, "trend_reference": 17074.835, "distance_from_trend": -0.989154, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15432.963487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.988, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.08155, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.992585, "excess_performance": -1.021486, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.989154, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.290518, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 181.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.025181, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.021702, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.228553, "worst_return": -0.120455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.119812, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.059895, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.239732, "worst_return": 0.024446, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.199522, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.050846, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.876043, "worst_return": -0.055958, "sufficient": false }, { 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12539.471737 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 185.2, "volume": 34706, "typical_volume": 61598.2, "trend": 17074.835, "fair_value": 15432.963487, "relative_strength": -99.08155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.683834, "energy": 68.531904, "activity_lines": [ 194.226667, 204.690909, 6459.231836, 11395.167213 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }