{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9bbeb3b-00b0-460b-8f03-3266f9095848", "symbol": "FLX", "name": "BingEx Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.12, "architecture_energy": 45.285, "architecture_maturity": 56.072, "architecture_confidence": 95.591, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.41, "rotation_up": 23.19, "upward_expansion": 7.22, "deceleration": 45.62, "rotation_down": 51.0, "downward_expansion": 80.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.138667, 2.168, 2.276952, 2.374452 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.08, "trend_reference": 2.546333, "distance_from_trend": -0.183139, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.673041, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.554894, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.042274, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.478697, "excess_performance": -0.66615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.183139, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120994, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.554894, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063631, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.370423, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071814, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.478697, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.590653, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 683674, "relative_activity": 0.844445, "balance": 0.590653, "dry_up": 0.765894, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123706, "annualized_volatility": 0.679314, "from_high_reference": -0.532584, "from_low_reference": 0.019608 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.546333, "fair_value_reference": 4.673041, "structural_low": 2.04, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.012902, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.054295, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.044715, "worst_return": -0.11284, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.134146, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.321424, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.134146, "worst_return": -0.134146, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.154472, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 18.01, "volume": 1378635, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 12.45, "volume": 1108281, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null 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"relative_strength": -33.207497, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.258689, "energy": 39.514226, "activity_lines": [ 2.162, 2.192727, 2.328571, 2.432258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.22, "volume": 504188, "typical_volume": 823002.0, "trend": 2.581333, "fair_value": 4.700052, "relative_strength": -30.134007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.229188, "energy": 40.305867, "activity_lines": [ 2.174, 2.192727, 2.309333, 2.406796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.08, "volume": 683674, "typical_volume": 809613.05, "trend": 2.546333, "fair_value": 4.673041, "relative_strength": -37.042274, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.120372, "energy": 45.285135, "activity_lines": [ 2.138667, 2.168, 2.276952, 2.374452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }