{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9c2135f-82ba-4832-a280-48d5ebe2d2b8", "symbol": "002702", "name": "HaiXin Foods Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.488, "architecture_energy": 44.406, "architecture_maturity": 79.19, "architecture_confidence": 66.618, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.22, "rotation_up": 24.99, "upward_expansion": 17.73, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 49.5, "downward_expansion": 70.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.631333, 4.625818, 4.95319, 5.221226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.76, "trend_reference": 5.662, "distance_from_trend": -0.159308, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.825731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.013621, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.060716, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.291667, "excess_performance": -0.299066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159308, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117198, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.013621, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.283294, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180607, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112801, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.291667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.253355, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 332861384, "relative_activity": 3.704029, "balance": 0.253355, "dry_up": 2.007591, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094376, "annualized_volatility": 0.527315, "from_high_reference": -0.575758, "from_low_reference": 0.208122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.662, "fair_value_reference": 4.825731, "structural_low": 3.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.006321, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.001653, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.192513, "worst_return": -0.147638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.038814, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.055605, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.217523, "worst_return": -0.237928, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.046152, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.023508, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.522222, "worst_return": -0.105482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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5.353857, 5.690409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.53, "volume": 76956816, "typical_volume": 75646071.0, "trend": 6.135667, "fair_value": 4.842628, "relative_strength": -26.753112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.833965, "energy": 90.139864, "activity_lines": [ 4.627333, 4.912545, 5.253857, 5.576022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.35, "volume": 79753630, "typical_volume": 71645920.0, "trend": 6.011, "fair_value": 4.837216, "relative_strength": -22.471239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.898505, "energy": 89.540536, "activity_lines": [ 4.504667, 4.759091, 5.144571, 5.460817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.12, "volume": 92421030, "typical_volume": 70267928.5, "trend": 5.862, "fair_value": 4.830329, "relative_strength": -26.611025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.676224, "energy": 84.286295, "activity_lines": [ 4.356667, 4.596909, 5.023905, 5.338817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.02, "volume": 216610122, "typical_volume": 76746849.7, "trend": 5.740667, "fair_value": 4.829212, "relative_strength": -9.197839, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.792972, "energy": 56.797492, "activity_lines": [ 4.553333, 4.629636, 4.998952, 5.284495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.76, "volume": 332861384, "typical_volume": 89864684.85, "trend": 5.662, "fair_value": 4.825731, "relative_strength": -18.060716, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.488154, "energy": 44.405937, "activity_lines": [ 4.631333, 4.625818, 4.95319, 5.221226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }