{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9c7c1e0-e4f9-47f0-8c88-61280ac6c111", "symbol": "JAICORPLTD", "name": "Jai Corp Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -34.524, "architecture_energy": 60.747, "architecture_maturity": 8.605, "architecture_confidence": 70.968, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.96, "rotation_up": 16.19, "upward_expansion": 21.14, "deceleration": 43.35, "rotation_down": 69.03, "downward_expansion": 60.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.388, 107.614, 110.573191, 110.045915 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 103.739998, "trend_reference": 110.076334, "distance_from_trend": -0.057563, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 205.980557, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.49636, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.211822, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.076224, "excess_performance": -0.032515, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057563, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071806, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.49636, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065729, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152118, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168269, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076224, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.885377, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1292096, "relative_activity": 0.631593, "balance": 0.885377, "dry_up": 0.73477, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064266, "annualized_volatility": 0.348125, "from_high_reference": -0.416144, "from_low_reference": 0.178864 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 110.076334, "fair_value_reference": 205.980557, "structural_low": 88.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.036281, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.011439, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.123749, "worst_return": -0.112467, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.018823, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.059038, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.319606, "worst_return": -0.630336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.066, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.060509, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.257533, "worst_return": -0.636678, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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100.330002, "volume": 1905765, "typical_volume": 3134759.9, "trend": 111.612668, "fair_value": 206.854577, "relative_strength": -15.344441, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.520644, "energy": 41.890137, "activity_lines": [ 107.478668, 111.10491, 112.032334, 111.138216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 101.529999, "volume": 1179913, "typical_volume": 3046570.55, "trend": 110.588001, "fair_value": 206.406074, "relative_strength": -16.439636, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.181389, "energy": 58.760945, "activity_lines": [ 104.58, 109.034728, 111.207096, 110.487721 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 103.739998, "volume": 1292096, "typical_volume": 2045772.7, "trend": 110.076334, "fair_value": 205.980557, "relative_strength": -15.211822, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.524387, "energy": 60.747437, "activity_lines": [ 103.388, 107.614, 110.573191, 110.045915 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }