{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9d3b54b-266a-4657-b90b-040044b7dd6b", "symbol": "BRCC", "name": "BRC Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 74.962, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.929, "architecture_energy": 29.023, "architecture_maturity": 38.851, "architecture_confidence": 65.003, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.85, "rotation_up": 14.78, "upward_expansion": 16.58, "deceleration": 59.75, "rotation_down": 61.82, "downward_expansion": 43.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.054667, 1.130182, 1.217031, 1.152282 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.0, "trend_reference": 1.060487, "distance_from_trend": -0.057037, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.728876, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.633549, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.108599, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.211387, "excess_performance": 0.085762, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057037, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004693, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.633549, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060681, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251086, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147117, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.211387, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.37984, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8779361, "relative_activity": 1.75357, "balance": 0.37984, "dry_up": 0.870506, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.234685, "annualized_volatility": 0.853164, "from_high_reference": -0.460916, "from_low_reference": 0.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.060487, "fair_value_reference": 2.728876, "structural_low": 0.6, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.187169, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.204925, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.14876, "worst_return": -0.225577, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.424512, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.49133, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.424512, "worst_return": -0.424512, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.493783, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.617627, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.493783, "worst_return": -0.493783, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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1.365636, 1.245566, 1.146267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.18, "volume": 2720575, "typical_volume": 5281742.9, "trend": 1.071487, "fair_value": 2.817081, "relative_strength": -14.37852, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.020615, "energy": 21.458611, "activity_lines": [ 1.241333, 1.328909, 1.252838, 1.153161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.14, "volume": 1917055, "typical_volume": 5093545.45, "trend": 1.067487, "fair_value": 2.79285, "relative_strength": -15.005336, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.192173, "energy": 19.15143, "activity_lines": [ 1.197333, 1.283273, 1.253937, 1.157581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.08, "volume": 4033355, "typical_volume": 4868418.65, "trend": 1.06382, "fair_value": 2.771119, "relative_strength": -17.455409, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.309357, "energy": 13.986178, "activity_lines": [ 1.148, 1.229636, 1.246891, 1.158388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.03, "volume": 2703200, "typical_volume": 4716884.4, "trend": 1.06082, "fair_value": 2.751183, "relative_strength": -21.025573, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.933302, "energy": 16.405295, "activity_lines": [ 1.097333, 1.176364, 1.233676, 1.156206 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.0, "volume": 8779361, "typical_volume": 5006564.3, "trend": 1.060487, "fair_value": 2.728876, "relative_strength": -25.108599, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.929496, "energy": 29.023188, "activity_lines": [ 1.054667, 1.130182, 1.217031, 1.152282 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }