{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9d4e35a-1ae7-40a0-82ed-b30e2519b0b4", "symbol": "GCU", "name": "Gunnison Copper Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 64.454, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.658, "architecture_energy": 31.421, "architecture_maturity": 23.503, "architecture_confidence": 88.355, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.71, "rotation_up": 23.06, "upward_expansion": 6.16, "deceleration": 51.92, "rotation_down": 51.3, "downward_expansion": 79.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.384667, 0.386727, 0.402167, 0.418312 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.445, "trend_reference": 0.452833, "distance_from_trend": -0.017298, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.260058, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.711159, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.927731, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.160377, "excess_performance": -0.280799, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017298, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009212, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.711159, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092333, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029277, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096195, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.160377, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.725625, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5957400, "relative_activity": 1.48995, "balance": 0.725625, "dry_up": 0.965326, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107692, "annualized_volatility": 0.655986, "from_high_reference": -0.364286, "from_low_reference": 0.893617 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.452833, "fair_value_reference": 0.260058, "structural_low": 0.325, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.043519, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.059377, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.586207, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.145833, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.19081, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.703704, "worst_return": -0.430769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.129254, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.17046, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.758621, "worst_return": -0.554217, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.417636, 0.42519, 0.444785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.37, "volume": 2831100, "typical_volume": 4288280.0, "trend": 0.459433, "fair_value": 0.256468, "relative_strength": -16.207742, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.015721, "energy": 57.381424, "activity_lines": [ 0.395, 0.407818, 0.418429, 0.438972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.35, "volume": 1961200, "typical_volume": 4144620.0, "trend": 0.457767, "fair_value": 0.257237, "relative_strength": -20.671216, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.023059, "energy": 74.161809, "activity_lines": [ 0.377, 0.395364, 0.410524, 0.431912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.365, "volume": 5049200, "typical_volume": 4074065.0, "trend": 0.455433, "fair_value": 0.257814, "relative_strength": -17.580767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.216413, "energy": 68.777402, "activity_lines": [ 0.368667, 0.387364, 0.405238, 0.425927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.345, "volume": 2471200, "typical_volume": 3970985.0, "trend": 0.4526, "fair_value": 0.258551, "relative_strength": -21.867842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.363352, "energy": 74.370703, "activity_lines": [ 0.358667, 0.377091, 0.39869, 0.418802 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.445, "volume": 5957400, "typical_volume": 3998390.0, "trend": 0.452833, "fair_value": 0.260058, "relative_strength": -2.927731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.658228, "energy": 31.421284, "activity_lines": [ 0.384667, 0.386727, 0.402167, 0.418312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }