{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9e5c090-4cb6-442b-9260-79ea726436ac", "symbol": "4344", "name": "SEDCO Capital REIT Fund", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.966, "architecture_energy": 20.167, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.627, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.59, "rotation_up": 22.04, "upward_expansion": 58.31, "deceleration": 88.32, "rotation_down": 35.14, "downward_expansion": 21.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.682667, 7.790364, 7.71832, 7.564945 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.42, "trend_reference": 7.345709, "distance_from_trend": 0.010113, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.007972, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.058794, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.605407, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.063779, "excess_performance": 0.095608, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010113, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066311, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.058794, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013746, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.076054, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021582, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063779, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.059267, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1001311, "relative_activity": 1.262164, "balance": 2.059267, "dry_up": 0.825491, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035651, "annualized_volatility": 0.133714, "from_high_reference": -0.089571, "from_low_reference": 0.256244 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.345709, "fair_value_reference": 7.007972, "structural_low": 6.759004, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.000865, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002369, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.084577, "worst_return": -0.064713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.006821, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000195, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.047887, "worst_return": -0.124613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061949, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.084672, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.08364, "worst_return": -0.125946, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.7, "volume": 711090, "typical_volume": 751884.4, "trend": 7.321232, "fair_value": 7.006933, "relative_strength": 14.654983, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.198522, "energy": 38.067879, "activity_lines": [ 7.838667, 7.867691, 7.732031, 7.558573 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.42, "volume": 1001311, "typical_volume": 793329.0, "trend": 7.345709, "fair_value": 7.007972, "relative_strength": 7.605407, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.965959, "energy": 20.167348, "activity_lines": [ 7.682667, 7.790364, 7.71832, 7.564945 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }