{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d9f1775b-beb2-4a9c-8a4c-bf756a2a40de", "symbol": "GAL", "name": "Galantas Gold Corporation", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.39, "architecture_energy": 66.572, "architecture_maturity": 14.768, "architecture_confidence": 75.221, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.96, "rotation_up": 20.09, "upward_expansion": 15.78, "deceleration": 37.98, "rotation_down": 60.72, "downward_expansion": 91.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.217667, 0.225364, 0.254833, 0.277054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.245, "trend_reference": 0.285833, "distance_from_trend": -0.142857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.115663, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.118214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 23.335063, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.166667, "excess_performance": 0.115431, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142857, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.253655, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.118214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.02805, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.233351, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.268347, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.166667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.719084, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 642417, "relative_activity": 0.743441, "balance": 0.719084, "dry_up": 0.562324, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.179592, "annualized_volatility": 1.608014, "from_high_reference": -0.69375, "from_low_reference": 7.166667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.285833, "fair_value_reference": 0.115663, "structural_low": 0.16, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.08377, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.049754, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.315789, "worst_return": -0.291667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.142943, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.105858, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.545455, "worst_return": -0.576923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.216216, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.173968, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.565217, "worst_return": -0.641379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 507853, "typical_volume": 1383777.4, "trend": 0.273583, "fair_value": 0.11499, "relative_strength": 6.440678, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.079916, "energy": 49.948234, "activity_lines": [ 0.224, 0.239182, 0.279524, 0.288769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.205, "volume": 653426, "typical_volume": 1146411.45, "trend": 0.279167, "fair_value": 0.115087, "relative_strength": 8.639452, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.967799, "energy": 54.099814, "activity_lines": [ 0.213667, 0.230909, 0.268429, 0.284344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.205, "volume": 139951, "typical_volume": 903508.95, "trend": 0.283833, "fair_value": 0.115183, "relative_strength": 5.58766, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.916927, "energy": 67.636063, "activity_lines": [ 0.207333, 0.224, 0.25931, 0.279559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.245, "volume": 642417, "typical_volume": 864113.05, "trend": 0.285833, "fair_value": 0.115663, "relative_strength": 23.335063, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.389717, "energy": 66.572434, "activity_lines": [ 0.217667, 0.225364, 0.254833, 0.277054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }