{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d9fcc8e8-ef71-4385-ac27-4fa0cfb2750d",
    "symbol": "BGR",
    "name": "Blackrock Energy & Resources Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 65.176,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.672,
    "architecture_energy": 43.025,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.077,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.342,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.56,
        "rotation_up": 67.3,
        "upward_expansion": 74.48,
        "deceleration": 62.66,
        "rotation_down": 11.01,
        "downward_expansion": 5.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        15.7276
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 15.92,
    "trend_reference": 15.57423,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.022201,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.241848,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300457,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.354313,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.101925,
    "excess_performance": -0.0237,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022201,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056194,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.300457,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031167,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013543,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044386,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101925,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.20389,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.715108,
      "balance": 1.20389,
      "dry_up": 0.710137,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044771,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.245021,
      "from_high_reference": -0.08386,
      "from_low_reference": 0.300118
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 12.241848,
      "structural_low": 14.326701,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.035013,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009661,
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        "worst_return": -0.059557,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.031582,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 763112.7,
        "trend": 14.923689,
        "fair_value": 11.946465,
        "relative_strength": 1.594138,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -3.553028,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 653774.6,
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        "fair_value": 12.044845,
        "relative_strength": -3.648341,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.104175,
        "energy": 46.287385,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 646473.2,
        "trend": 15.150293,
        "fair_value": 12.082494,
        "relative_strength": -1.394194,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.955371,
        "energy": 41.712005,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.0,
        "volume": 418603,
        "typical_volume": 640544.65,
        "trend": 15.255818,
        "fair_value": 12.121811,
        "relative_strength": 3.701521,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.145621,
        "energy": 17.440452,
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          15.332298,
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          15.579269,
          15.543769
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.5,
        "volume": 388148,
        "typical_volume": 612179.7,
        "trend": 15.379404,
        "fair_value": 12.163765,
        "relative_strength": 7.305702,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.703696,
        "energy": 32.073898,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.805803,
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          15.650289,
          15.624038
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.55,
        "volume": 379321,
        "typical_volume": 579270.75,
        "trend": 15.48539,
        "fair_value": 12.205729,
        "relative_strength": 6.254142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.334341,
        "energy": 42.473446,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.164728,
          15.703451,
          15.720555,
          15.699561
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.92,
        "volume": 399056,
        "typical_volume": 558035.65,
        "trend": 15.57423,
        "fair_value": 12.241848,
        "relative_strength": -1.354313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.671736,
        "energy": 43.024925,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.181723,
          15.77795,
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          15.7276
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}