{ "ticker": { "uuid": "da00c009-f393-4366-a6ef-fa1cd98df299", "symbol": "600261", "name": "Zhejiang Yankon Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.735, "architecture_energy": 59.939, "architecture_maturity": 36.481, "architecture_confidence": 95.524, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 25.32, "upward_expansion": 12.65, "deceleration": 43.14, "rotation_down": 52.91, "downward_expansion": 85.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.000667, 3.031245, 3.158256, 3.290734 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.02, "trend_reference": 3.434192, "distance_from_trend": -0.120608, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.155707, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.043004, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.309998, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.177112, "excess_performance": -0.133908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120608, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034863, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.043004, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169667, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.1231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056761, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.177112, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.439751, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42291104, "relative_activity": 0.526175, "balance": 0.439751, "dry_up": 0.542812, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060102, "annualized_volatility": 0.303217, "from_high_reference": -0.257985, "from_low_reference": 0.055944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.434192, "fair_value_reference": 3.155707, "structural_low": 2.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.001829, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010597, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.223141, "worst_return": -0.107011, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.009091, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.046311, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.093674, "worst_return": -0.099892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.029646, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.024153, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.10303, "worst_return": -0.149439, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"close": 2.95, "volume": 47475282, "typical_volume": 101457154.45, "trend": 3.485859, "fair_value": 3.166659, "relative_strength": -16.80303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.894872, "energy": 70.852011, "activity_lines": [ 3.059333, 3.13814, 3.310414, 3.411021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.02, "volume": 47575157, "typical_volume": 100101749.7, "trend": 3.475192, "fair_value": 3.164549, "relative_strength": -9.263417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.643864, "energy": 65.025955, "activity_lines": [ 3.034, 3.102804, 3.267863, 3.380965 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.92, "volume": 49959601, "typical_volume": 89913542.65, "trend": 3.457526, "fair_value": 3.161034, "relative_strength": -13.069088, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.725599, "energy": 72.431712, "activity_lines": [ 2.986667, 3.059238, 3.219692, 3.345146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.04, "volume": 34687463, "typical_volume": 83452584.25, "trend": 3.445859, "fair_value": 3.15817, "relative_strength": -9.593971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.188939, "energy": 68.336747, "activity_lines": [ 2.994667, 3.044014, 3.18776, 3.318209 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.02, "volume": 42291104, "typical_volume": 80374608.2, "trend": 3.434192, "fair_value": 3.155707, "relative_strength": -12.309998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.734913, "energy": 59.938733, "activity_lines": [ 3.000667, 3.031245, 3.158256, 3.290734 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }