{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da05e924-2410-4fdc-ae9c-7a87bb611124",
    "symbol": "INCY",
    "name": "Incyte Corporation",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.972,
    "architecture_energy": 54.682,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.623,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.087,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.32,
        "rotation_up": 71.21,
        "upward_expansion": 85.9,
        "deceleration": 50.69,
        "rotation_down": 15.19,
        "downward_expansion": 7.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        119.006667,
        116.31,
        109.629286,
        106.033548
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 120.56,
    "trend_reference": 103.017,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.170292,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 75.370609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.599563,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.630312,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.11228,
    "excess_performance": -0.075174,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170292,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03544,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.599563,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22128,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066303,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140481,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11228,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.661851,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9223293,
      "relative_activity": 1.120406,
      "balance": 2.661851,
      "dry_up": 1.20019,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076282,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.333683,
      "from_high_reference": -0.090799,
      "from_low_reference": 0.541688
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 103.017,
      "fair_value_reference": 75.370609,
      "structural_low": 89.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.013087,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02975,
        "regime_survival": 0.611111,
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        "worst_return": -0.091471,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.127565,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.229184,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.095947,
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      }
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 73.268429,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 7981203.8,
        "trend": 100.176667,
        "fair_value": 73.619647,
        "relative_strength": 7.488451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 7820859,
        "typical_volume": 8048130.0,
        "trend": 100.886667,
        "fair_value": 73.971891,
        "relative_strength": 4.955437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.633052,
        "energy": 77.083667,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 117.25,
        "volume": 7944256,
        "typical_volume": 7990251.85,
        "trend": 101.372,
        "fair_value": 74.312276,
        "relative_strength": 9.3689,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.295085,
        "energy": 79.640406,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.292667,
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          104.642,
          102.687742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 117.67,
        "volume": 6325835,
        "typical_volume": 7929905.6,
        "trend": 101.957333,
        "fair_value": 74.662147,
        "relative_strength": 10.883358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.432516,
        "energy": 77.556865,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.996667,
          112.53,
          106.265762,
          103.739226
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 119.52,
        "volume": 16026944,
        "typical_volume": 8309911.65,
        "trend": 102.560667,
        "fair_value": 75.020417,
        "relative_strength": 11.503082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.928382,
        "energy": 68.892371,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.020667,
          114.528727,
          107.962238,
          104.872301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 120.56,
        "volume": 9223293,
        "typical_volume": 8232098.35,
        "trend": 103.017,
        "fair_value": 75.370609,
        "relative_strength": 6.630312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.971781,
        "energy": 54.681784,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.006667,
          116.31,
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          106.033548
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}