{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da06a3fa-46df-49a3-89d1-2c44b3030d3b",
    "symbol": "SHAHALLOYS",
    "name": "Shah Alloys Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 50.475,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.913,
    "architecture_energy": 14.55,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.569,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.244,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.95,
        "rotation_up": 30.63,
        "upward_expansion": 51.1,
        "deceleration": 75.7,
        "rotation_down": 32.0,
        "downward_expansion": 26.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.739333,
        69.338363,
        69.63619,
        68.506021
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 70.790001,
    "trend_reference": 67.157333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.054092,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 65.256731,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.084792,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.046616,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.114979,
    "excess_performance": 0.158688,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054092,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014966,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084792,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079515,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050466,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119217,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114979,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.97996,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23913,
      "relative_activity": 0.576628,
      "balance": 0.97996,
      "dry_up": 0.923098,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.078988,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.404964,
      "from_high_reference": -0.155754,
      "from_low_reference": 0.333145
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 67.157333,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.256731,
      "structural_low": 53.099998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.014653,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024041,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.155691,
        "worst_return": -0.222222,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.062909,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096989,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.4,
        "worst_return": -0.224916,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.17823,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.083332,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.304138,
        "worst_return": -0.146801,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.19931,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.213651,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.460777,
        "worst_return": -0.273401,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.188897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.12431,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.106932,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.258413,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.060633,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.09309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.195118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.012651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.034383,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.064511,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "energy": 20.05701,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.617332,
          65.349999,
          65.037047,
          66.33572
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 69.559998,
        "volume": 39866,
        "typical_volume": 63119.45,
        "trend": 67.93,
        "fair_value": 63.202628,
        "relative_strength": 11.659678,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.16526,
        "energy": 24.417319,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.865332,
          66.343817,
          65.402571,
          66.434989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 73.75,
        "volume": 46798,
        "typical_volume": 63048.55,
        "trend": 68.145,
        "fair_value": 63.342372,
        "relative_strength": 16.968304,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.388571,
        "energy": 38.674635,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.729332,
          68.031635,
          66.166047,
          66.810473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 67.5,
        "volume": 30183,
        "typical_volume": 63300.05,
        "trend": 68.192667,
        "fair_value": 63.457436,
        "relative_strength": 9.07601,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.963221,
        "energy": 29.204949,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.467333,
          68.439454,
          66.305095,
          66.76886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 72.779999,
        "volume": 60866,
        "typical_volume": 64312.2,
        "trend": 68.351,
        "fair_value": 63.616282,
        "relative_strength": 16.609768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.193145,
        "energy": 22.878793,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.017333,
          69.665817,
          66.948238,
          67.064817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 70.440002,
        "volume": 64509,
        "typical_volume": 65279.4,
        "trend": 68.177667,
        "fair_value": 63.790257,
        "relative_strength": 13.055239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.818178,
        "energy": 18.655953,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.858667,
          70.223454,
          67.363285,
          67.199591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 69.610001,
        "volume": 1902,
        "typical_volume": 63422.2,
        "trend": 67.829667,
        "fair_value": 63.960833,
        "relative_strength": 11.950768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.462163,
        "energy": 13.421805,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.460001,
          70.459636,
          67.707333,
          67.292
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 67.760002,
        "volume": 1359,
        "typical_volume": 60342.3,
        "trend": 67.553333,
        "fair_value": 64.116987,
        "relative_strength": 7.324414,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.128937,
        "energy": 9.361047,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.441335,
          70.145637,
          67.868476,
          67.287505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 69.220001,
        "volume": 18177,
        "typical_volume": 59858.7,
        "trend": 67.187333,
        "fair_value": 64.304616,
        "relative_strength": 7.441641,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.692964,
        "energy": 14.496402,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.308668,
          69.921637,
          68.143714,
          67.395032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 71.169998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 57429.65,
        "trend": 67.181333,
        "fair_value": 64.481346,
        "relative_strength": 9.879395,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.949926,
        "energy": 16.563236,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.711334,
          70.035091,
          68.577524,
          67.651978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 70.629997,
        "volume": 20145,
        "typical_volume": 55173.75,
        "trend": 67.228667,
        "fair_value": 64.637628,
        "relative_strength": 7.811732,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.476077,
        "energy": 16.828665,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.041332,
          70.099091,
          68.923333,
          67.874473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 73.599998,
        "volume": 139398,
        "typical_volume": 56265.0,
        "trend": 67.371,
        "fair_value": 64.828013,
        "relative_strength": 12.206009,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.843034,
        "energy": 36.438176,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.348665,
          70.709636,
          69.535904,
          68.285527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 68.93,
        "volume": 84633,
        "typical_volume": 52499.65,
        "trend": 67.414666,
        "fair_value": 64.963462,
        "relative_strength": 4.297714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.467722,
        "energy": 29.420801,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.833332,
          70.397636,
          69.666714,
          68.386107
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 66.559998,
        "volume": 26044,
        "typical_volume": 49027.6,
        "trend": 67.374666,
        "fair_value": 65.087564,
        "relative_strength": 2.808955,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.930073,
        "energy": 12.474458,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.449998,
          69.742363,
          69.557142,
          68.330967
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.5,
        "volume": 18535,
        "typical_volume": 44834.65,
        "trend": 67.202,
        "fair_value": 65.168013,
        "relative_strength": -0.193509,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.606255,
        "energy": 8.126222,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.223999,
          69.093272,
          69.409285,
          68.274537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.790001,
        "volume": 23913,
        "typical_volume": 41470.4,
        "trend": 67.157333,
        "fair_value": 65.256731,
        "relative_strength": 5.046616,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.913314,
        "energy": 14.550497,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.739333,
          69.338363,
          69.63619,
          68.506021
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}