{ "ticker": { "uuid": "da294574-6c26-4889-b132-7820122a8106", "symbol": "VAIBHAVGBL", "name": "Vaibhav Global Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 73.17, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.947, "architecture_energy": 44.164, "architecture_maturity": 15.632, "architecture_confidence": 86.554, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.73, "rotation_up": 59.48, "upward_expansion": 78.91, "deceleration": 58.59, "rotation_down": 16.72, "downward_expansion": 5.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 254.767329, 250.37486, 239.464989, 232.809756 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 242.949997, "trend_reference": 226.93218, "distance_from_trend": 0.070584, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 288.416006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.15764, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.794922, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.070264, "excess_performance": 0.113973, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070584, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008073, "read": "Rising" 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174.130005, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.046412, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.044271, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.164545, "worst_return": -0.142047, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.085502, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.060544, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.263579, "worst_return": -0.21773, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.194325, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.106848, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.528177, "worst_return": -0.34762, "sufficient": false }, { 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"trend": 224.584565, "fair_value": 290.282111, "relative_strength": 17.383798, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.725222, "energy": 75.570314, "activity_lines": [ 251.517172, 242.125994, 231.17677, 227.309394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 251.940002, "volume": 2763391, "typical_volume": 1593346.05, "trend": 225.203464, "fair_value": 289.84409, "relative_strength": 15.199467, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.823466, "energy": 68.816565, "activity_lines": [ 253.146665, 245.314073, 233.970399, 229.074261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 266.359985, "volume": 3372721, "typical_volume": 1666567.9, "trend": 226.206345, "fair_value": 289.214819, "relative_strength": 18.229867, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.368251, "energy": 74.032476, "activity_lines": [ 258.973995, 250.400691, 237.968788, 231.72952 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 242.949997, "volume": 4160922, "typical_volume": 1779776.5, "trend": 226.93218, "fair_value": 288.416006, "relative_strength": 6.794922, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.947014, "energy": 44.163682, "activity_lines": [ 254.767329, 250.37486, 239.464989, 232.809756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }