{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da34a3d3-7c0d-455c-b495-578235d3bf5f",
    "symbol": "NATH",
    "name": "Nathans Famous Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 84.545,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.97,
    "architecture_energy": 73.014,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.702,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.361,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.7,
        "rotation_up": 8.19,
        "upward_expansion": 15.91,
        "deceleration": 37.41,
        "rotation_down": 74.72,
        "downward_expansion": 89.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        97.976667,
        99.050114,
        99.853774,
        100.115535
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 98.01,
    "trend_reference": 100.139874,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.021269,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 83.58358,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.172599,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.171457,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.026716,
    "excess_performance": -0.21417,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021269,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019839,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172599,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071473,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.141715,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020196,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026716,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.595975,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 110932,
      "relative_activity": 0.998114,
      "balance": 0.595975,
      "dry_up": 1.034117,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017687,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.082816,
      "from_high_reference": -0.106397,
      "from_low_reference": 0.110882
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 100.139874,
      "fair_value_reference": 83.58358,
      "structural_low": 95.502,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.027423,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028113,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.260973,
        "worst_return": -0.10449,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.149521,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.073619,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.209828,
        "worst_return": -0.016026,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.210691,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.138571,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.307732,
        "worst_return": -0.064621,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.202488,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033712,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.323033,
        "worst_return": 0.081944,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080729,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.158242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.124805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004447,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.004842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008608,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020406,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 53624.0,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -10.801994,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 82.727667,
        "relative_strength": -11.4693,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 118334.3,
        "trend": 99.499318,
        "fair_value": 82.918971,
        "relative_strength": -13.32096,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.369826,
        "energy": 30.146221,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 96.05,
        "volume": 151051,
        "typical_volume": 119263.25,
        "trend": 99.518113,
        "fair_value": 83.072916,
        "relative_strength": -13.261767,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.492556,
        "energy": 31.365648,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.486555,
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          100.553235,
          100.422934
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 98.18,
        "volume": 122203,
        "typical_volume": 115963.5,
        "trend": 99.66363,
        "fair_value": 83.238295,
        "relative_strength": -9.691807,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.487684,
        "energy": 39.689203,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.789333,
          99.83031,
          100.317176,
          100.336604
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 98.11,
        "volume": 75548,
        "typical_volume": 111775.5,
        "trend": 99.882937,
        "fair_value": 83.410995,
        "relative_strength": -10.007637,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.850607,
        "energy": 54.490366,
        "activity_lines": [
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          100.08488,
          100.23637
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 98.01,
        "volume": 110932,
        "typical_volume": 111141.65,
        "trend": 100.139874,
        "fair_value": 83.58358,
        "relative_strength": -14.171457,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.970129,
        "energy": 73.013978,
        "activity_lines": [
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          100.115535
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}