{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da3563cb-3764-4760-8d98-0dc1a8ca333e",
    "symbol": "SLYV",
    "name": "STATE STREET SPDR S&P 600 SMALL CAP VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.631,
    "architecture_energy": 56.599,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.612,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.277,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.19,
        "rotation_up": 55.21,
        "upward_expansion": 79.5,
        "deceleration": 66.3,
        "rotation_down": 23.83,
        "downward_expansion": 8.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        109.347333,
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        106.51811,
        104.207028
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 111.0,
    "trend_reference": 101.635417,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092139,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 83.891605,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.323136,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.173362,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.100991,
    "excess_performance": -0.024634,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092139,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060504,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.323136,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050137,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031734,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000226,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100991,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.189551,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1254209,
      "relative_activity": 1.061921,
      "balance": 1.189551,
      "dry_up": 0.726337,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029724,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.148004,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008752,
      "from_low_reference": 0.389364
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 101.635417,
      "fair_value_reference": 83.891605,
      "structural_low": 90.887751,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.005131,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009529,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.094506,
        "worst_return": -0.099005,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.087008,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.11924,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.136511,
        "worst_return": -0.082955,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1227785.75,
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        "relative_strength": 6.390182,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 71.664322,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 108.39,
        "volume": 639043,
        "typical_volume": 1188742.15,
        "trend": 100.565101,
        "fair_value": 83.446951,
        "relative_strength": 5.926528,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.872687,
        "energy": 55.139768,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 108.46,
        "volume": 920336,
        "typical_volume": 1171685.45,
        "trend": 101.132757,
        "fair_value": 83.658428,
        "relative_strength": 4.582554,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.236607,
        "energy": 50.730993,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.470667,
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          105.766715,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 111.0,
        "volume": 1254209,
        "typical_volume": 1181075.8,
        "trend": 101.635417,
        "fair_value": 83.891605,
        "relative_strength": 3.173362,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.630775,
        "energy": 56.599351,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}