{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da3c6626-89fb-4096-b560-2534a860f5ef",
    "symbol": "LHA",
    "name": "Deutsche Lufthansa AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 51.624,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 28.536,
    "architecture_energy": 23.573,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.673,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.338,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.02,
        "rotation_up": 21.84,
        "upward_expansion": 56.13,
        "deceleration": 91.1,
        "rotation_down": 34.82,
        "downward_expansion": 22.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.776267,
        9.026873,
        8.694353,
        8.447071
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.342,
    "trend_reference": 8.27237,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.008417,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.801917,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.226419,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.241987,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.057954,
    "excess_performance": -0.122594,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008417,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046745,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.226419,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064166,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03242,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063798,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057954,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.693728,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 46637350,
      "relative_activity": 1.953794,
      "balance": 0.693728,
      "dry_up": 1.019153,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079053,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.394352,
      "from_high_reference": -0.188916,
      "from_low_reference": 0.290619
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.27237,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.801917,
      "structural_low": 6.721183,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.023849,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002056,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.132126,
        "worst_return": -0.049019,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.153432,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125978,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.256674,
        "worst_return": -0.191196,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.044368,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032923,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.122726,
        "worst_return": -0.252261,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.052111,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161666,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.172539,
        "worst_return": -0.276761,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.113952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.157336,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 6.787812,
        "relative_strength": 6.837996,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 59.695217,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.036,
        "volume": 14828111,
        "typical_volume": 23565519.45,
        "trend": 8.278518,
        "fair_value": 6.797563,
        "relative_strength": 7.612844,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.768003,
        "energy": 30.940942,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.342,
        "volume": 46637350,
        "typical_volume": 23870148.5,
        "trend": 8.27237,
        "fair_value": 6.801917,
        "relative_strength": -3.241987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.535566,
        "energy": 23.572838,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}