{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da455fe6-cc25-4bd7-b61f-8e574d402b82",
    "symbol": "EWH",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 74.092,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -22.879,
    "architecture_energy": 36.232,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.719,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.573,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.64,
        "rotation_up": 43.78,
        "upward_expansion": 24.43,
        "deceleration": 44.17,
        "rotation_down": 20.16,
        "downward_expansion": 58.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        385.841474,
        390.68076
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 392.01001,
    "trend_reference": 395.565979,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.00899,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 335.358528,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168928,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.243742,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.034458,
    "excess_performance": 0.020209,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00899,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013301,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168928,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086222,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022437,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0102,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034458,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 241.98579,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 400,
      "relative_activity": 0.007504,
      "balance": 241.98579,
      "dry_up": 4.948861,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017953,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.1356,
      "from_high_reference": -0.059129,
      "from_low_reference": 0.072091
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 335.358528,
      "structural_low": 365.649994,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": -0.01022,
        "positive_rate": 0.323529,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.000288,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 400.218435,
        "fair_value": 331.778889,
        "relative_strength": -7.042778,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 634.35,
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        "fair_value": 332.695815,
        "relative_strength": -9.347815,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -9.95534,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 396.490979,
        "fair_value": 333.447136,
        "relative_strength": -7.302908,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.223335,
        "energy": 83.15946,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 385.649994,
        "volume": 1054669,
        "typical_volume": 53284.5,
        "trend": 396.128312,
        "fair_value": 333.941052,
        "relative_strength": -4.025029,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.377209,
        "energy": 64.287498,
        "activity_lines": [
          375.275334,
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          392.065464
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 387.25,
        "volume": 135,
        "typical_volume": 53285.95,
        "trend": 395.990979,
        "fair_value": 334.400282,
        "relative_strength": -3.039872,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.022083,
        "energy": 46.050539,
        "activity_lines": [
          379.821334,
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          386.441419,
          391.49267
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 387.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 53285.4,
        "trend": 395.853646,
        "fair_value": 334.833116,
        "relative_strength": -3.604264,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.167587,
        "energy": 33.173162,
        "activity_lines": [
          383.508667,
          379.051897,
          385.867041,
          390.928736
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 392.01001,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 53305.4,
        "trend": 395.565979,
        "fair_value": 335.358528,
        "relative_strength": -2.243742,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.878799,
        "energy": 36.231534,
        "activity_lines": [
          387.63267,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}