{ "ticker": { "uuid": "da47c3a3-8e2c-4024-bb61-e4e84d8a5c25", "symbol": "600081", "name": "Dong Feng Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.891, "architecture_energy": 36.061, "architecture_maturity": 52.885, "architecture_confidence": 61.926, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.01, "rotation_up": 24.43, "upward_expansion": 16.58, "deceleration": 65.78, "rotation_down": 39.8, "downward_expansion": 64.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.704667, 9.651818, 10.214238, 10.562925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.93, "trend_reference": 11.015667, "distance_from_trend": -0.098557, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.093626, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.104891, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.911446, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.163437, "excess_performance": -0.120233, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.098557, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066311, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.104891, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239374, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149114, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068472, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.163437, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.721757, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14104488, "relative_activity": 0.784175, "balance": 0.721757, "dry_up": 0.850526, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082268, "annualized_volatility": 0.359516, "from_high_reference": -0.336673, "from_low_reference": 0.11573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.015667, "fair_value_reference": 11.093626, "structural_low": 8.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.01898, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.016074, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.734086, "worst_return": -0.121731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.039942, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.04029, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.275903, "worst_return": -0.125513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032496, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036505, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.171614, "worst_return": -0.179369, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"close": 9.39, "volume": 17444694, "typical_volume": 18144434.2, "trend": 11.139333, "fair_value": 11.115408, "relative_strength": -18.038033, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.425153, "energy": 52.686713, "activity_lines": [ 9.371333, 9.641636, 10.361286, 10.712495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.97, "volume": 14078413, "typical_volume": 18032900.2, "trend": 11.079, "fair_value": 11.102914, "relative_strength": -12.774261, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.860448, "energy": 45.708264, "activity_lines": [ 9.573333, 9.630909, 10.285286, 10.637054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.93, "volume": 14104488, "typical_volume": 17986405.85, "trend": 11.015667, "fair_value": 11.093626, "relative_strength": -14.911446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.89126, "energy": 36.061147, "activity_lines": [ 9.704667, 9.651818, 10.214238, 10.562925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }