{ "ticker": { "uuid": "da48d7a0-e440-4534-ae51-4a24d63394ab", "symbol": "301468", "name": "Pourin Special Welding Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.283, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.592, "architecture_energy": 78.352, "architecture_maturity": 22.303, "architecture_confidence": 81.243, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.65, "rotation_up": 8.25, "upward_expansion": 17.99, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 78.51, "downward_expansion": 93.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.990667, 35.501273, 39.295317, 40.760464 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 34.330002, "trend_reference": 43.116457, "distance_from_trend": -0.203784, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.698354, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.389971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.114589, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.33072, "excess_performance": -0.33812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203784, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037577, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.389971, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.606401, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.071146, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.347986, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.33072, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.315087, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33167253, "relative_activity": 1.010003, "balance": 0.315087, "dry_up": 0.9758, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.191789, "annualized_volatility": 0.77088, "from_high_reference": -0.44434, "from_low_reference": 0.83552 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.116457, "fair_value_reference": 24.698354, "structural_low": 24.360001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }