{ "ticker": { "uuid": "da4f9744-e832-4f4a-a379-4d0fce6e1afd", "symbol": "SDST", "name": "Stardust Power Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -85.287, "architecture_energy": 91.212, "architecture_maturity": 62.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.467, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.51, "rotation_up": 10.35, "upward_expansion": 21.33, "deceleration": 37.31, "rotation_down": 81.62, "downward_expansion": 97.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.031, 1.334909, 1.741381, 2.050624 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.665, "trend_reference": 2.534833, "distance_from_trend": -0.737655, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.830706, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.972095, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -81.146472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.82027, "excess_performance": -1.007724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.737655, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207576, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.972095, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061572, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.811465, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.347291, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.82027, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.966339, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28867391, "relative_activity": 11.665653, "balance": 3.966339, "dry_up": 3.393337, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.657721, "annualized_volatility": 1.61503, "from_high_reference": -0.913299, "from_low_reference": 0.330266 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.534833, "fair_value_reference": 23.830706, "structural_low": 0.4999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.178571, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.196077, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.204082, "worst_return": -0.613372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.236735, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.509329, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.236735, "worst_return": -0.236735, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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1.897818, 2.179, 2.465484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.76, "volume": 993754, "typical_volume": 906875.4, "trend": 2.781667, "fair_value": 24.478887, "relative_strength": -51.86946, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.694341, "energy": 59.386674, "activity_lines": [ 1.736667, 1.846182, 2.116476, 2.396366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.58, "volume": 925237, "typical_volume": 942428.15, "trend": 2.729, "fair_value": 24.264879, "relative_strength": -54.9339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.218471, "energy": 61.65003, "activity_lines": [ 1.68, 1.773455, 2.044762, 2.318839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.54, "volume": 2801720, "typical_volume": 1065780.25, "trend": 2.633333, "fair_value": 24.045204, "relative_strength": -84.288086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.716677, "energy": 84.368557, "activity_lines": [ 1.296, 1.523636, 1.881667, 2.177613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.665, "volume": 28867391, "typical_volume": 2474562.75, "trend": 2.534833, "fair_value": 23.830706, "relative_strength": -81.146472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.286794, "energy": 91.212231, "activity_lines": [ 1.031, 1.334909, 1.741381, 2.050624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }