{ "ticker": { "uuid": "da6fa27d-7324-47c2-a73d-d7b52a792570", "symbol": "GDOT", "name": "Green Dot Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.522, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.588, "architecture_energy": 36.264, "architecture_maturity": 48.577, "architecture_confidence": 47.438, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.13, "rotation_up": 41.65, "upward_expansion": 66.49, "deceleration": 63.71, "rotation_down": 25.51, "downward_expansion": 16.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.21, 13.213273, 12.992762, 12.668129 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.15, "trend_reference": 12.339, "distance_from_trend": 0.065727, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.837628, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213365, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.839445, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.09401, "excess_performance": -0.031615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065727, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019949, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.213365, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095213, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068394, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020697, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09401, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.34248, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1990337, "relative_activity": 0.914367, "balance": 1.34248, "dry_up": 0.768464, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037745, "annualized_volatility": 0.232386, "from_high_reference": -0.146652, "from_low_reference": 0.352491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.339, "fair_value_reference": 10.837628, "structural_low": 10.28, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.039796, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.081783, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.423237, "worst_return": -0.230315, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.002125, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.095002, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.163704, "worst_return": -0.285283, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.176776, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.256343, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.173059, "worst_return": -0.448789, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 1497913, "typical_volume": 2448586.1, "trend": 12.278333, "fair_value": 10.961282, "relative_strength": -2.771705, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.757015, "energy": 68.598271, "activity_lines": [ 13.244667, 13.073091, 12.669048, 12.426473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.4, "volume": 1665330, "typical_volume": 2430216.6, "trend": 12.295667, "fair_value": 10.916923, "relative_strength": -0.756776, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.939492, "energy": 74.670704, "activity_lines": [ 13.32, 13.156182, 12.779333, 12.498839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.28, "volume": 1359060, "typical_volume": 2392717.15, "trend": 12.301667, "fair_value": 10.878333, "relative_strength": -1.215341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.263289, "energy": 63.708314, "activity_lines": [ 13.334667, 13.203273, 12.869429, 12.562344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.11, "volume": 1676251, "typical_volume": 2312211.2, "trend": 12.318667, "fair_value": 10.856474, "relative_strength": -3.688229, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.915211, "energy": 46.950448, "activity_lines": [ 13.257333, 13.207636, 12.935333, 12.614495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.15, "volume": 1990337, "typical_volume": 2176737.0, "trend": 12.339, "fair_value": 10.837628, "relative_strength": -6.839445, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.58813, "energy": 36.264064, "activity_lines": [ 13.21, 13.213273, 12.992762, 12.668129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }