{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da722d65-efa0-4ce3-bb95-1f64cb074120",
    "symbol": "HDD",
    "name": "Hardide plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.766,
    "architecture_energy": 81.957,
    "architecture_maturity": 92.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.272,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.73,
        "rotation_up": 84.2,
        "upward_expansion": 95.41,
        "deceleration": 43.17,
        "rotation_down": 9.55,
        "downward_expansion": 17.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.946333,
        0.846091,
        0.704286,
        0.604661
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.0,
    "trend_reference": 0.476917,
    "distance_from_trend": 1.096802,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.156144,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 5.404335,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 201.16904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 3.347826,
    "excess_performance": 3.296591,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.096802,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.835177,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.404335,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.079407,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.01169,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.81801,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.347826,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.759259,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1339641,
      "relative_activity": 0.828741,
      "balance": 2.759259,
      "dry_up": 1.151003,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.133638,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.864394,
      "from_high_reference": -0.090909,
      "from_low_reference": 15.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.476917,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.156144,
      "structural_low": 0.224,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.013423,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009456,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 1.375,
        "worst_return": -0.153846,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.410256,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.392053,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 1.472727,
        "worst_return": -0.230769,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.324786,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.263922,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 3.436364,
        "worst_return": -0.567308,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 2.112714,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 1.955675,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 4.811966,
        "worst_return": -0.586538,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.27907,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.021739,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1556931.25,
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        "relative_strength": 177.538231,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 67.08053,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.945,
        "volume": 3706078,
        "typical_volume": 1647536.75,
        "trend": 0.420667,
        "fair_value": 0.144574,
        "relative_strength": 223.698633,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.794,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.035,
        "volume": 1499845,
        "typical_volume": 1622575.75,
        "trend": 0.44925,
        "fair_value": 0.150471,
        "relative_strength": 229.993507,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.323557,
        "energy": 75.747818,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.888667,
          0.798636,
          0.661524,
          0.569129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 1339641,
        "typical_volume": 1616477.75,
        "trend": 0.476917,
        "fair_value": 0.156144,
        "relative_strength": 201.16904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.765987,
        "energy": 81.957165,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.946333,
          0.846091,
          0.704286,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}