{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "da996527-880b-4795-90cc-14606215f825",
    "symbol": "003026",
    "name": "Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 81.115,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -44.619,
    "architecture_energy": 39.791,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.407,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.201,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.68,
        "rotation_up": 8.91,
        "upward_expansion": 11.73,
        "deceleration": 61.46,
        "rotation_down": 67.27,
        "downward_expansion": 68.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        28.505334,
        31.474,
        31.876144,
        31.868726
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 29.4,
    "trend_reference": 32.114424,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.084524,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.199323,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.026468,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.849166,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.155172,
    "excess_performance": -0.162572,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084524,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017586,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026468,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102671,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.138492,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074437,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155172,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.226156,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 50410972,
      "relative_activity": 0.807198,
      "balance": 1.226156,
      "dry_up": 0.956098,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.183993,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.906101,
      "from_high_reference": -0.311798,
      "from_low_reference": 0.292489
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.114424,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.199323,
      "structural_low": 22.746809,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.049105,
        "positive_rate": 0.1875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.1875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040853,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
        "best_return": 0.193349,
        "worst_return": -0.287527,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.070443,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106491,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.277058,
        "worst_return": -0.424865,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.155172,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.162572,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": -0.002585,
        "worst_return": -0.310044,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.032125,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.135151,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.235551,
        "worst_return": -0.273564,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009464,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025447,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00106,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": -0.070378,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
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        "return": 0.132538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 29.43,
        "volume": 80312552,
        "typical_volume": 57949147.35,
        "trend": 32.453758,
        "fair_value": 30.275805,
        "relative_strength": -12.55022,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.199903,
        "energy": 25.275255,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.272,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.23,
        "volume": 62146868,
        "typical_volume": 59871322.7,
        "trend": 32.355424,
        "fair_value": 30.253273,
        "relative_strength": -18.657566,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.670513,
        "energy": 11.257911,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.194,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.290001,
        "volume": 45969547,
        "typical_volume": 61020167.65,
        "trend": 32.163758,
        "fair_value": 30.214868,
        "relative_strength": -22.562112,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.026053,
        "energy": 36.063151,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.178,
          32.11696,
          32.077491,
          32.047033
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.4,
        "volume": 50410972,
        "typical_volume": 62451770.15,
        "trend": 32.114424,
        "fair_value": 30.199323,
        "relative_strength": -13.849166,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.618691,
        "energy": 39.790714,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.505334,
          31.474,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}