{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "daa7c190-c14d-4f28-8946-8ca154c065e8",
    "symbol": "BN2",
    "name": "Valuetronics Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.39,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.592,
    "architecture_energy": 35.516,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.17,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.429,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.19,
        "rotation_up": 22.22,
        "upward_expansion": 15.29,
        "deceleration": 49.07,
        "rotation_down": 61.44,
        "downward_expansion": 54.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.846667,
        0.872597,
        0.946731,
        0.948869
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.99,
    "trend_reference": 0.940952,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.052126,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.67437,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.468037,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.508981,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.151163,
    "excess_performance": -0.003672,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052126,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027043,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.468037,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.290258,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06509,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.295195,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151163,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.092468,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5779500,
      "relative_activity": 0.780082,
      "balance": 1.092468,
      "dry_up": 0.622979,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.114164,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.706365,
      "from_high_reference": -0.175,
      "from_low_reference": 0.345632
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.940952,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.67437,
      "structural_low": 0.735714,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.068629,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041075,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.142855,
        "worst_return": -0.009259,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.12811,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076333,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.203082,
        "worst_return": 0.053137,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.161389,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.1197,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.164253,
        "worst_return": 0.158524,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.196621,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.160681,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.196621,
        "worst_return": 0.196621,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-07-14",
        "end": "2023-08-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-01",
        "end": "2023-09-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.088236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.093221,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.084746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.04148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.146342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.25253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.154762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04902,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.283333,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.443958,
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        "typical_volume": 696805.0,
        "trend": 0.436981,
        "fair_value": 0.430064,
        "relative_strength": 5.799326,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 52.438072,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.785714,
        "volume": 4038900,
        "typical_volume": 7111645.0,
        "trend": 0.94031,
        "fair_value": 0.668911,
        "relative_strength": -24.741235,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.788759,
        "energy": 64.610134,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.764286,
        "volume": 4908300,
        "typical_volume": 7222680.0,
        "trend": 0.937119,
        "fair_value": 0.670925,
        "relative_strength": -26.983427,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.874244,
        "energy": 71.542426,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.775238,
          0.86439,
          0.944558,
          0.945458
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.99,
        "volume": 5779500,
        "typical_volume": 7408840.0,
        "trend": 0.940952,
        "fair_value": 0.67437,
        "relative_strength": -6.508981,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.591638,
        "energy": 35.515812,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.846667,
          0.872597,
          0.946731,
          0.948869
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}