{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dab2e6dc-c9a6-4c08-bd2b-28a2f6a4d68f", "symbol": "AIAI", "name": "NetraMark Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.185, "architecture_energy": 31.912, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.61, "rotation_up": 24.03, "upward_expansion": 5.28, "deceleration": 49.67, "rotation_down": 45.99, "downward_expansion": 73.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.787333, 0.788727, 0.823762, 0.857118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.75, "trend_reference": 0.913667, "distance_from_trend": -0.179132, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.797212, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.059221, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.259079, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.285714, "excess_performance": -0.406136, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.179132, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108618, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.059221, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.450599, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.392591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145948, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.285714, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.413128, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65000, "relative_activity": 0.422078, "balance": 0.413128, "dry_up": 0.909091, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172308, "annualized_volatility": 0.789248, "from_high_reference": -0.583333, "from_low_reference": 0.209677 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.913667, "fair_value_reference": 0.797212, "structural_low": 0.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.052632, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.016844, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 1.428571, "worst_return": -0.28, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.021853, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006772, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 4.136364, "worst_return": -0.254237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.510204, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.480676, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 6.045455, "worst_return": -0.278689, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 0.78, "volume": 58300, "typical_volume": 151770.0, "trend": 0.933, "fair_value": 0.790481, "relative_strength": -36.97136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.579833, "energy": 21.297243, "activity_lines": [ 0.805333, 0.802727, 0.840762, 0.87686 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.8, "volume": 225100, "typical_volume": 155530.0, "trend": 0.923, "fair_value": 0.794071, "relative_strength": -34.051367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.630832, "energy": 17.423597, "activity_lines": [ 0.810667, 0.798909, 0.834095, 0.86828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.75, "volume": 65000, "typical_volume": 154000.0, "trend": 0.913667, "fair_value": 0.797212, "relative_strength": -39.259079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.184668, "energy": 31.912321, "activity_lines": [ 0.787333, 0.788727, 0.823762, 0.857118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }