{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dab76be2-2d05-4869-94b7-cdda0615bd23", "symbol": "002083", "name": "Sunvim Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.356, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 23.111, "architecture_energy": 24.275, "architecture_maturity": 17.706, "architecture_confidence": 76.533, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.53, "rotation_up": 58.04, "upward_expansion": 39.58, "deceleration": 40.12, "rotation_down": 17.68, "downward_expansion": 16.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.158667, 10.737185, 10.549858, 10.73506 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.72, "trend_reference": 11.093443, "distance_from_trend": 0.05648, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.134167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.91061, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.049086, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.030783, "excess_performance": 0.023383, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05648, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013962, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.91061, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003828, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.210491, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095714, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.030783, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.044496, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 396107164, "relative_activity": 1.66141, "balance": 1.044496, "dry_up": 1.743596, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109788, "annualized_volatility": 0.50192, "from_high_reference": -0.205424, "from_low_reference": 1.504274 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.093443, "fair_value_reference": 6.134167, "structural_low": 8.789121, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.0225, "positive_rate": 0.68, "directional_follow_through": 0.68, "median_excess_return": 0.01123, "regime_survival": 0.56, "best_return": 0.185714, "worst_return": -0.112389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.034265, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.025217, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.276699, "worst_return": -0.092077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.072262, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.020726, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.291971, "worst_return": -0.175848, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.012121, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.024048, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.111712, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.099485, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": 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"fair_value": 5.955335, "relative_strength": -4.800446, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.003705, "energy": 26.392561, "activity_lines": [ 10.009498, 9.943945, 10.373397, 10.725046 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.26, "volume": 270916306, "typical_volume": 195009304.6, "trend": 11.106776, "fair_value": 5.994309, "relative_strength": 14.324891, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.578938, "energy": 22.192913, "activity_lines": [ 10.081333, 9.990836, 10.328048, 10.670393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.52, "volume": 292384548, "typical_volume": 202465771.35, "trend": 11.131443, "fair_value": 6.041477, "relative_strength": 26.29274, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.601212, "energy": 8.90803, "activity_lines": [ 10.514, 10.275252, 10.409366, 10.697053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.1, "volume": 703399047, "typical_volume": 227621642.7, "trend": 11.099443, "fair_value": 6.085952, "relative_strength": 22.128021, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.090029, "energy": 8.747837, "activity_lines": [ 10.744667, 10.459992, 10.44935, 10.695024 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.72, "volume": 396107164, "typical_volume": 238416266.65, "trend": 11.093443, "fair_value": 6.134167, "relative_strength": 21.049086, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.110645, "energy": 24.275248, "activity_lines": [ 11.158667, 10.737185, 10.549858, 10.73506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }