{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dabdf488-9899-4b96-be24-9c24af82903c",
    "symbol": "8996",
    "name": "Kaori Heat Treatment Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 20.577,
    "architecture_energy": 17.253,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.196,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.488,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.04,
        "rotation_up": 24.19,
        "upward_expansion": 42.36,
        "deceleration": 81.3,
        "rotation_down": 37.42,
        "downward_expansion": 34.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1078.0,
        1132.272727,
        1155.1,
        1113.501197
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1280.0,
    "trend_reference": 1033.384654,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.238648,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 467.300011,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.73914,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 24.228667,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.602662,
    "excess_performance": 0.16129,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.238648,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.266721,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.73914,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103036,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.242287,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100592,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.602662,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.665341,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15932036,
      "relative_activity": 1.192171,
      "balance": 1.665341,
      "dry_up": 1.177409,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.215565,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.974064,
      "from_high_reference": -0.238095,
      "from_low_reference": 3.164846
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1033.384654,
      "fair_value_reference": 467.300011,
      "structural_low": 696.22644,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.065029,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033331,
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        "best_return": 0.357309,
        "worst_return": -0.127106,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.746038,
        "worst_return": -0.181013,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.065868,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021098,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.375949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.666852,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.648287,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.984138,
        "worst_return": -0.20064,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.061429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 13868063,
        "typical_volume": 13695758.6,
        "trend": 995.801638,
        "fair_value": 456.702581,
        "relative_strength": -9.857314,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1045.0,
        "volume": 19390526,
        "typical_volume": 13621101.2,
        "trend": 1011.770549,
        "fair_value": 461.148808,
        "relative_strength": 6.434498,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.074688,
        "energy": 24.541246,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 1280.0,
        "volume": 15932036,
        "typical_volume": 13363888.55,
        "trend": 1033.384654,
        "fair_value": 467.300011,
        "relative_strength": 24.228667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}