{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dabe0b45-65cf-445d-80d7-ce8a0410a9ea", "symbol": "LCII", "name": "LCI Industries", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.389, "architecture_energy": 21.98, "architecture_maturity": 71.939, "architecture_confidence": 64.319, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.87, "rotation_up": 30.56, "upward_expansion": 19.35, "deceleration": 46.42, "rotation_down": 19.96, "downward_expansion": 53.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.393333, 102.837636, 104.660098, 109.660263 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 108.8, "trend_reference": 118.04602, "distance_from_trend": -0.078326, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 103.81348, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.048033, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.760661, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.282427, "excess_performance": -0.408051, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078326, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041126, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.048033, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078566, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137607, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102264, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.282427, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.981882, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1445680, "relative_activity": 0.703712, "balance": 0.981882, "dry_up": 0.828441, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07863, "annualized_volatility": 0.358582, "from_high_reference": -0.304943, "from_low_reference": 0.329247 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 118.04602, "fair_value_reference": 103.81348, 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"gate": "down", "direction": -59.580671, "energy": 48.844839, "activity_lines": [ 98.886667, 99.743905, 106.535634, 113.254231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 108.17, "volume": 2190974, "typical_volume": 2060800.55, "trend": 119.94932, "fair_value": 104.048712, "relative_strength": -11.07631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.405237, "energy": 31.979015, "activity_lines": [ 102.591333, 100.747267, 106.144642, 112.46617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.35, "volume": 1595624, "typical_volume": 2070144.45, "trend": 119.35139, "fair_value": 103.946865, "relative_strength": -14.422687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.811436, "energy": 24.527317, "activity_lines": [ 103.682, 101.045352, 105.401375, 111.395246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.36, "volume": 1575393, "typical_volume": 2088301.35, "trend": 118.700852, "fair_value": 103.838388, "relative_strength": -16.05856, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.567284, "energy": 21.473251, "activity_lines": [ 103.680667, 101.282, 104.677159, 110.299028 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.8, "volume": 1445680, "typical_volume": 2054363.15, "trend": 118.04602, "fair_value": 103.81348, "relative_strength": -13.760661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.388822, "energy": 21.980166, "activity_lines": [ 105.393333, 102.837636, 104.660098, 109.660263 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }