{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dac1db21-2860-4b6d-ae8f-c41ccf765d98",
    "symbol": "MED",
    "name": "MEDIFAST INC",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 20.014,
    "architecture_energy": 15.699,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.635,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.237,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.33,
        "rotation_up": 27.55,
        "upward_expansion": 22.04,
        "deceleration": 69.14,
        "rotation_down": 47.93,
        "downward_expansion": 37.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.846667,
        10.801636,
        11.154619,
        11.079849
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 12.62,
    "trend_reference": 11.066,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.14043,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 25.448648,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.504099,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.907487,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.110915,
    "excess_performance": -0.014709,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14043,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009843,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.504099,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100345,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039075,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054612,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110915,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.426951,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1986021,
      "relative_activity": 1.810248,
      "balance": 0.426951,
      "dry_up": 1.024094,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08943,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.512037,
      "from_high_reference": -0.139741,
      "from_low_reference": 0.368764
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.066,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.448648,
      "structural_low": 9.22,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.062543,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067471,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.009918,
        "worst_return": -0.115169,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.0835,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106165,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.0835,
        "worst_return": -0.0835,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.221407,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.200255,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.221407,
        "worst_return": -0.221407,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.401803,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.314815,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.401803,
        "worst_return": -0.401803,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-08-12",
        "end": "2022-12-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.095288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2022-12-16",
        "end": "2023-03-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.072301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-03-17",
        "end": "2023-07-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-08-04",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.147095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-09-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-08",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.752849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.212363,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.089562,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.120855,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.106327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004006,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.131405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.063869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.303719,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 82.555965,
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        "typical_volume": 1013042.55,
        "trend": 93.127394,
        "fair_value": 157.830719,
        "relative_strength": -24.68903,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "direction": -33.137947,
        "energy": 22.043572,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -10.504026,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 28.154472,
        "relative_strength": -17.154181,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 1153837.65,
        "trend": 11.143333,
        "fair_value": 27.649074,
        "relative_strength": -19.260386,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.440944,
        "energy": 22.168212,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 10.26,
        "volume": 857696,
        "typical_volume": 1133867.65,
        "trend": 11.090333,
        "fair_value": 27.125525,
        "relative_strength": -20.861425,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.974567,
        "energy": 30.52845,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.608,
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          11.245952,
          11.146387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.68,
        "volume": 1047565,
        "typical_volume": 1144919.7,
        "trend": 11.045,
        "fair_value": 26.515094,
        "relative_strength": -24.01106,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.801679,
        "energy": 46.610827,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.268667,
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          11.114286,
          11.055398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.83,
        "volume": 602849,
        "typical_volume": 1079713.25,
        "trend": 11.026,
        "fair_value": 25.957634,
        "relative_strength": -22.878631,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.604707,
        "energy": 57.31931,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.07,
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          11.002095,
          10.977011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.62,
        "volume": 1986021,
        "typical_volume": 1097099.1,
        "trend": 11.066,
        "fair_value": 25.448648,
        "relative_strength": -3.907487,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.014018,
        "energy": 15.698607,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.846667,
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          11.079849
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}